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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Orolbai v Brener Lightweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus39 picks · conf 61/99
Orolbai 27
12 Brener
IPFT1T pick Orolbai
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Orolbai 15-2-1 VS 16-5 Brener
5'10" height 5'10"
170 lb weight 155 lb
74" reach 72"
28 age 28
Orthodox stance Orthodox
3.4 strikes landed / min 4.0
48% striking accuracy 47%
3.4 strikes absorbed / min 5.3
49% striking defence 48%
5.4 takedowns / 15 min 1.2
43% takedown accuracy 23%
40% takedown defence 76%
0.4 submissions / 15 min 0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
TD The Rambling Dad picks Myktybek Orolbai “I'm going to go with Myktybek Orolbai on this one I can't I don't see past Myktybek Orolbai I Myktybek Orolbai on this one um so yeah I'm pretty sure it's Myktybek Orolbai”
TM The MMA-Holes picks Myktybek Orolbai “Myktybek Orolbai by decision done”
KU Kunath picks Elves Brener VALUE “I think he goes out there wins this fight”
LI LimpyMMA picks Elves Brener VALUE “I'm going with Elves Brener”
WP We Want Picks picks Myktybek Orolbai VALUE “I think Myktybek Orolbai is going to get all the takedowns he wants or needs and get this done” $3.50
IP It's Time - UFC Picks picks Myktybek Orolbai VALUE “look I'm going Myktybek Orolbai I can't I'm not picking against that scary looking dude”
TH TheWeasle picks Myktybek Orolbai “ultimately I'm going to go with Myktybek Orolbai” $1.38
TS The Spar Scene MMA Show picks Myktybek Orolbai VALUE “I think Myktybek Orolbai can finish him on the feet I think he's too I think um brener is just too he's not safe enough he's too he throws himself out there his Chin's open he's constantly swinging U for hay makers so I think he dominates him through with the grappling um and I think it's should be an easy somewhat of an easy win for orai”
EP Ebays Fight Predictions picks Myktybek Orolbai VALUE “I think Mech Beck right here in this spot is just a good spot”
MM Meo on MMA picks Myktybek Orolbai “I'm going to go with Myktybek Orolbai by decision”
GM GC MMA picks Myktybek Orolbai VALUE “I'm going to have to [ __ ] go him guys miss brener like he's good right we've seen him come back when he's been getting his ass beat but I just don't think that he's going to be able to do it against this guy I think that this guy's got like ridiculously good wrestling good top pressure”
AM AJ MMA picks Myktybek Orolbai VALUE “we going Myktybek Orolbai winning this”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Orolbai15-2-1
W Curtis Decision · R3 Mar '26
W Hermansson KO/TKO · R1 Nov '25
W Musayev Submission · R1 Jun '25
L Rębecki Decision · R3 Oct '24
W Brener Decision · R3 May '24
Brener16-5
L Ribovics Decision · R3 Aug '25
L Álvarez KO/TKO · R3 Aug '24
L Orolbai Decision · R3 May '24
W Kruschewsky KO/TKO · R1 Nov '23
W Kutateladze KO/TKO · R3 Jul '23