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Gorimbo vs BrahimajMain Card · Welterweight
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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Carnelossi v Rodríguez
Women'S Strawweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Carnelossi 15-4
VS
9-2 Rodríguez
5'2"
height
—
115 lb
weight
—
61"
reach
—
33
age
33
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
2.9
strikes landed / min
3.6
39%
striking accuracy
47%
4.7
strikes absorbed / min
2.8
45%
striking defence
58%
1.4
takedowns / 15 min
3.1
55%
takedown accuracy
41%
14%
takedown defence
66%
0.3
submissions / 15 min
0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
TD
The Rambling Dad picks Piera Rodríguez
“I'm going with um uh Piera Rodríguez ... I'm going to go with Piera Rodríguez going to go with Piera Rodríguez here”
The Rambling Dad picks Piera Rodríguez
“I'm going with um uh Piera Rodríguez ... I'm going to go with Piera Rodríguez going to go with Piera Rodríguez here”
SA
Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Piera Rodríguez VALUE
“I bet Pier Rodriguez minus 170 on the money line”
$1.59
Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Piera Rodríguez VALUE
“I bet Pier Rodriguez minus 170 on the money line”
$1.59
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Piera Rodríguez
“I'm going to go with Piera Rodríguez to win the fight on the score cards”
$1.45
MMA EXPERTS picks Piera Rodríguez
“I'm going to go with Piera Rodríguez to win the fight on the score cards”
$1.45
TT
The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Piera Rodríguez VALUE
“taking ariani carosi at plus 185”
$2.85
The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Piera Rodríguez VALUE
“taking ariani carosi at plus 185”
$2.85
US
Uselyis picks Piera Rodríguez
“I'm gonna be going with uh Piera Rodríguez not just because she's the favorite but just because she's a Venezuelan and she she uh has a lot of people who are talking good about her”
Uselyis picks Piera Rodríguez
“I'm gonna be going with uh Piera Rodríguez not just because she's the favorite but just because she's a Venezuelan and she she uh has a lot of people who are talking good about her”
WT
WagerTalk TV: Sports Picks and Betting Tips picks Ariane Carnelossi VALUE
“I'm going carel OSI here no bet but picking carel OSI”
WagerTalk TV: Sports Picks and Betting Tips picks Ariane Carnelossi VALUE
“I'm going carel OSI here no bet but picking carel OSI”
WP
We Want Picks picks Piera Rodríguez
“I am going to lean Piera Rodríguez”
We Want Picks picks Piera Rodríguez
“I am going to lean Piera Rodríguez”
TP
The City Life Project picks Piera Rodríguez
“I'm going to go with Pierre Piera Rodríguez on this one Ariane Carnelossi though she has arms twice the size of me she's not a quick Striker she's strong but only really explosive early in the fight 14 and three as a pro pretty good resume here 3 and two in her last five fights has looked good in her UFC fights she did lose to Lupita ginz in her last fight before them was on a two fight win streak Piera Rodríguez 9 and one as a pro she is the favorite of mine 175 she hits hard she has quick hands former LFA Champion despite actually having some KO power and decent hand she can take women down at will solid resume on the regional scene and in the UFC I just don't see where carnelossi is beating her I don't think carnelossi knocks her out I don't think carosi has as quick hands carosi does have nine kotko which is very impressive but you look at Piera Rodríguez five kotko to her name as well despite her having some decent grappling she's got zero submissions cuz she never had to she's employed ground and pound and control to win her fights I'm going with Piera Rodríguez again caral Losi she's okay just not as quick and despite having that one punch power it's just not her her movements her technique not as explosive after the first round so we're going Piera Rodríguez on this one”
$1.57
The City Life Project picks Piera Rodríguez
“I'm going to go with Pierre Piera Rodríguez on this one Ariane Carnelossi though she has arms twice the size of me she's not a quick Striker she's strong but only really explosive early in the fight 14 and three as a pro pretty good resume here 3 and two in her last five fights has looked good in her UFC fights she did lose to Lupita ginz in her last fight before them was on a two fight win streak Piera Rodríguez 9 and one as a pro she is the favorite of mine 175 she hits hard she has quick hands former LFA Champion despite actually having some KO power and decent hand she can take women down at will solid resume on the regional scene and in the UFC I just don't see where carnelossi is beating her I don't think carnelossi knocks her out I don't think carosi has as quick hands carosi does have nine kotko which is very impressive but you look at Piera Rodríguez five kotko to her name as well despite her having some decent grappling she's got zero submissions cuz she never had to she's employed ground and pound and control to win her fights I'm going with Piera Rodríguez again caral Losi she's okay just not as quick and despite having that one punch power it's just not her her movements her technique not as explosive after the first round so we're going Piera Rodríguez on this one”
$1.57
PN
Picks Nation picks Ariane Carnelossi VALUE
“if arani comes back as strong as she ever was as sturdy as she ever was and she can drag Piera Rodrígueziera Rodríguez to the ground or def defend the takedowns and then just bomb away in her feet Ariane Carnelossi kosi is a physical specimen that could win this fight on physicality alone”
$2.60
Picks Nation picks Ariane Carnelossi VALUE
“if arani comes back as strong as she ever was as sturdy as she ever was and she can drag Piera Rodrígueziera Rodríguez to the ground or def defend the takedowns and then just bomb away in her feet Ariane Carnelossi kosi is a physical specimen that could win this fight on physicality alone”
$2.60
PN
Picks Nation picks Piera Rodríguez
“her opponent Piera Rodrígueziera Rodríguez is good she's not amazing but she's good”
Picks Nation picks Piera Rodríguez
“her opponent Piera Rodrígueziera Rodríguez is good she's not amazing but she's good”
LF
Liam Picks Fights picks Ariane Carnelossi VALUE
“I'm going to take Ary man”
Liam Picks Fights picks Ariane Carnelossi VALUE
“I'm going to take Ary man”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Carnelossi15-4
L
Souza
Jun '26
L
Alencar
Nov '25
W
Rodríguez
May '24
L
Godinez
May '22
W
Nunes
Oct '21
Rodríguez9-2
W
Hughes
Mar '26
W
Souza
Aug '25
W
Knutsson
Dec '24
L
Carnelossi
May '24
L
Robertson
Apr '23