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Murphy vs BarbozaMain Card · Featherweight
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Williams vs HarrisMain Card · Welterweight
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Gorimbo vs BrahimajMain Card · Welterweight
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Yañez vs SalvadorMain Card · Bantamweight
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Hill vs PinheiroMain Card · Women'S Strawweight
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Nolan vs MartinezPreliminary Card · Lightweight
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Sy vs TokkosPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
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Gatto vs VidalPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight
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Magomedov vs AlvesPreliminary Card · Middleweight
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Carnelossi vs RodríguezPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
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Heili vs RodriguesPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
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Demopoulos vs DucotePreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
EB
Murphy vs BarbozaMain Card · Featherweight
KW
CH
Williams vs HarrisMain Card · Welterweight
TG
RB
Gorimbo vs BrahimajMain Card · Welterweight
AY
VS
Yañez vs SalvadorMain Card · Bantamweight
AH
LP
Hill vs PinheiroMain Card · Women'S Strawweight
TN
VM
Nolan vs MartinezPreliminary Card · Lightweight
OS
TT
Sy vs TokkosPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
MG
TV
Gatto vs VidalPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight
AM
WA
Magomedov vs AlvesPreliminary Card · Middleweight
AC
PR
Carnelossi vs RodríguezPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
AH
KR
Heili vs RodriguesPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
VD
ED
Demopoulos vs DucotePreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Murphy v Barboza
Featherweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Murphy 17-0-1
VS
24-12 Barboza
5'9"
height
5'11"
146 lb
weight
155 lb
73"
reach
75"
34
age
40
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
4.8
strikes landed / min
4.1
54%
striking accuracy
44%
2.7
strikes absorbed / min
4.7
60%
striking defence
56%
1.8
takedowns / 15 min
0.5
54%
takedown accuracy
50%
48%
takedown defence
72%
0.6
submissions / 15 min
0.1
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
SA
Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Edson Barboza VALUE
“I lean slightly towards etson Edson Barboza”
Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Edson Barboza VALUE
“I lean slightly towards etson Edson Barboza”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Edson Barboza VALUE
“I've been picking Edson Barboza to win throughout the week”
$2.30
MMA EXPERTS picks Edson Barboza VALUE
“I've been picking Edson Barboza to win throughout the week”
$2.30
AP
AnyGivenMonday Podcast picks Edson Barboza VALUE
“I'm rocking Edson Edson Barboza on this one”
$2.30
AnyGivenMonday Podcast picks Edson Barboza VALUE
“I'm rocking Edson Edson Barboza on this one”
$2.30
JC
Jimmy Smith - Combat Sports Analyst & Commentator picks Edson Barboza
“I got to go with uh Murphy probably by decision”
$2.48
Jimmy Smith - Combat Sports Analyst & Commentator picks Edson Barboza
“I got to go with uh Murphy probably by decision”
$2.48
TT
The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Edson Barboza VALUE
“live anytime after round one on Edson Barboza Barboza”
The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Edson Barboza VALUE
“live anytime after round one on Edson Barboza Barboza”
TT
The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Lerone Murphy
“Lerone Murphy the favorite Edson Barboza Barboza the short dog”
The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Lerone Murphy
“Lerone Murphy the favorite Edson Barboza Barboza the short dog”
US
Uselyis picks Edson Barboza
“I love Edson Barbosa but um I think the age takes too much of a factor and he can get dropped he's not he's susceptible to get dropped”
Uselyis picks Edson Barboza
“I love Edson Barbosa but um I think the age takes too much of a factor and he can get dropped he's not he's susceptible to get dropped”
US
Uselyis picks Lerone Murphy
“I'm going Lerone Murphy just because uh I think this goes the distance I think this fight definitely goes to distance but if Lerone Murphy I think Lerone Murphy's not going to start off as fast as sadik YF did”
Uselyis picks Lerone Murphy
“I'm going Lerone Murphy just because uh I think this goes the distance I think this fight definitely goes to distance but if Lerone Murphy I think Lerone Murphy's not going to start off as fast as sadik YF did”
WT
WagerTalk TV: Sports Picks and Betting Tips picks Edson Barboza VALUE
“I lean Murphy personally um more so just trying to be a little bit unpredictable with these fights because these main events are unpredictable period”
WagerTalk TV: Sports Picks and Betting Tips picks Edson Barboza VALUE
“I lean Murphy personally um more so just trying to be a little bit unpredictable with these fights because these main events are unpredictable period”
WT
WagerTalk TV: Sports Picks and Betting Tips picks Lerone Murphy
“a lot of people are loving Barbosa because of the unproven Murphy um I have a problem with Edson Barboza I just think he's he's Hit or Miss”
WagerTalk TV: Sports Picks and Betting Tips picks Lerone Murphy
“a lot of people are loving Barbosa because of the unproven Murphy um I have a problem with Edson Barboza I just think he's he's Hit or Miss”
MN
Mayo Media Network picks Lerone Murphy VALUE
“I also think Lerone Murphy's Survival cast game Target himself at 8.5k”
Mayo Media Network picks Lerone Murphy VALUE
“I also think Lerone Murphy's Survival cast game Target himself at 8.5k”
MN
Mayo Media Network picks Edson Barboza VALUE
“my cash game play of the week is going to be Edson Edson Barboza at 7.7k”
$2.21
Mayo Media Network picks Edson Barboza VALUE
“my cash game play of the week is going to be Edson Edson Barboza at 7.7k”
$2.21
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Murphy17-0-1
L
Evloev
Mar '26
W
Pico
Aug '25
W
Emmett
Apr '25
W
Ige
Oct '24
W
Barboza
May '24
Barboza24-12
L
Turner
Dec '25
L
Klose
Aug '25
L
Murphy
May '24
W
Yusuff
Oct '23
W
Quarantillo
Apr '23