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UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Hill v Pinheiro Women'S Strawweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus47 picks · conf 67/99
Hill 34
13 Pinheiro
HBoFMM pick Hill
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Hill 18-16 VS 11-4 Pinheiro
5'3" height 5'2"
116 lb weight 115 lb
65" reach 63"
41 age 33
Orthodox stance Orthodox
5.5 strikes landed / min 3.4
49% striking accuracy 40%
4.9 strikes absorbed / min 4.0
61% striking defence 61%
0.8 takedowns / 15 min 1.8
32% takedown accuracy 33%
74% takedown defence 69%
0.1 submissions / 15 min 0.2
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
ES etoft21 sports picks Angela Hill “I'm going to back Angela Hill here um I I do respect her opponent I think she um this is this is a dangerous spot for her but I think with her fighter IQ um I think she'll be able to out Outlast her opponent... and and and win this out by the by decision”
TD The Rambling Dad picks Angela Hill “I'm going to go with Angela Hill here here I think with Angela Hill um she's going with Angela Hill to get this one”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Angela Hill “I'm going with Angela Hill to win” $1.69
MM Magnusisp MMA picks Angela Hill “I'm going to go with uh Luana perro cuz she's younger”
AP AnyGivenMonday Podcast picks Luana Pinheiro VALUE “I am gonna go Luana Pinheiro on this one” $2.35
JC Jimmy Smith - Combat Sports Analyst & Commentator picks Angela Hill VALUE “I think Angela Hill outworks her wins by decision”
US Uselyis picks Angela Hill VALUE “I'm going to pick flip and I'm going to Angela Hill just because I think Angela Hill is a dog and and all of her 13 fights have only been finished twice”
WT WagerTalk TV: Sports Picks and Betting Tips picks Angela Hill VALUE “Angie Hill all day long I know she's old I know she's old I know she loses split decisions but there's one thing I can guarantee you Angela Hill ain't lose in the third round”
WP We Want Picks picks Angela Hill “Angela Hill is going to be the pick”
MM MMAFightingonSBN picks Angela Hill “I'm going for the only ranked fighter in the card”
TP The City Life Project picks Angela Hill “we're going with Angela Hill she's way better she's way better good counter wrestling good grappling really good striking and Angela Hill don't let her record fool you she has been robbed of decisions up and down her resume and recently as well other than getting beat up by McKenzie D You could argue the janir Roba fight was close okay I think she beat Amanda Lemos I think she beat Tisha Pennington she 100% beat Michelle Waton Gomez all right and Angela Hill Overkill she's a hard opponent despite her being almost 40 years of age she doesn't look like that in the cage she's quick she's still hits hard keeps the fights on the feet where her boxing her kickboxing her pocket strikes and Strikes at range usually get the better of her opponents Lana Panero she's 11 and two she's only the slide Underdog at plus one30 she's awful she's awful she's not going to win this fight she's not going to win this fight Angela Hill that's the pick way better allaround way better boxing Pano's slower despite being younger and Pano's she's not going to finish Hill she really isn't she's not going to knock her out she's not going to submit her I know she has five submissions in her promanade career it's not going to happen Angela Hill is going to win this one or she's going to be absolutely robbed of a split decision”
SD Split Decision picks Angela Hill “I'm going to go with Angela Hill for this first fight on the main card”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Hill18-16
W Jingnan Decision · R3 May '26
L Kline Decision · R3 Nov '25
L Lucindo Decision · R3 Aug '25
W Souza Decision · R3 Feb '25
L Ricci Decision · R3 Aug '24
Pinheiro11-4
L Pennington Decision · R3 May '25
L Robertson Decision · R3 Nov '24
L Hill Submission · R2 May '24
L Ribas KO/TKO · R3 Nov '23
W Waterson-Gomez Decision · R3 Apr '23