MMA Prophecy
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UFC 306: O'Malley vs. Dvalishvili
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MD SO Dvalishvili vs O'MalleyMain Card · Bantamweight VS AG Shevchenko vs GrassoMain Card · Women'S Flyweight DL BO Lopes vs OrtegaMain Card · Featherweight ER DZ Ribovics vs ZellhuberMain Card · Lightweight RR OO Rodríguez vs OsbourneMain Card · Flyweight ND IA Dumont vs AldanaPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight IB MT Bahamondes vs TorresPreliminary Card · Lightweight KS YJ Souza vs JaureguiPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight JV ÉC Van vs CháirezPreliminary Card · Flyweight RJ AQ Rosas Jr. vs QilengEarly Preliminary Card · Bantamweight
BEST PRICE Prophecy read Van v Cháirez Flyweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus25 picks · conf 50/99
Van 18
7 Cháirez
JMMURS pick Van
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Van 16-2 VS 13-6 Cháirez
5'5" height 5'7"
124 lb weight 125 lb
65" reach 71"
24 age 30
Orthodox stance Orthodox
8.4 strikes landed / min 3.5
53% striking accuracy 45%
6.1 strikes absorbed / min 5.2
58% striking defence 42%
1.6 takedowns / 15 min 0.0
63% takedown accuracy 0%
83% takedown defence 33%
0.0 submissions / 15 min 1.5
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only Go Pro →
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
TD The Rambling Dad picks Joshua Van “I'm G Joshua Van by KO in the second... gonna go with Joshua Van... I got Joshua Van... gonna go with Joshua Van... Joshua Van just a bit more polished fighter”
TM The MMA-Holes picks Joshua Van “[ __ ] it I'm going Joshua Van I'm going Joshua Van”
OS Once Upon A Slugfest picks Joshua Van VALUE “my subscribers and I went with Joshua Van” $1.49
PP Pick Pocket Podcast picks Joshua Van “I do think he wins but it could be like this is a FWE fight you know it could be one of those split decisions man”
KU Kunath picks Édgar Cháirez VALUE “I think the Édgar Cháirez is very interesting this week with his submission upside with the power that he has catching Joshua Van at the best possible time”
DS Dynes Sports picks Joshua Van “Joshua Van minus 235 pick is gonna end up being Joshua Van ... yeah I'm with you on Joshua Van here ... if you like the Joshua Van side you Joshua Van closer to even money I think that's probably what I'm going to do here” $1.43
WP We Want Picks picks Joshua Van “Joshua Van should win this fight”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Joshua Van “I'm going to go with Joshua Joshua Van Joshua Van to win this fight” $1.43
MD MMA Mic Drop picks Joshua Van “give me Joshua Van”
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Joshua Van “give me Josh van that's the pick”
TA The AllStar picks Édgar Cháirez “I actually kind of pick Édgar Cháirez just because I think you're right... I am kind of giving it to Édgar Cháirez sorry Joshua Van”
TA The AllStar picks Joshua Van “Joshua Van going to knock him out I think that's what's going to happen”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Van16-2
W Taira KO/TKO · R5 May '26
W Pantoja KO/TKO · R1 Dec '25
W Royval Decision · R3 Jun '25
W Silva KO/TKO · R3 Jun '25
W Tsuruya Decision · R3 Mar '25
Cháirez13-6
W Silva Submission · R1 Jun '26
W Bunes Decision · R3 Feb '26
W Vergara Submission · R1 Mar '25
L Van Decision · R3 Sep '24
L Taira Decision · R3 Jul '23