MMA Prophecy
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UFC 306: O'Malley vs. Dvalishvili
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MD SO Dvalishvili vs O'MalleyMain Card · Bantamweight VS AG Shevchenko vs GrassoMain Card · Women'S Flyweight DL BO Lopes vs OrtegaMain Card · Featherweight ER DZ Ribovics vs ZellhuberMain Card · Lightweight RR OO Rodríguez vs OsbourneMain Card · Flyweight ND IA Dumont vs AldanaPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight IB MT Bahamondes vs TorresPreliminary Card · Lightweight KS YJ Souza vs JaureguiPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight JV ÉC Van vs CháirezPreliminary Card · Flyweight RJ AQ Rosas Jr. vs QilengEarly Preliminary Card · Bantamweight
BEST PRICE Prophecy read Dvalishvili v O'Malley Bantamweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus39 picks · conf 61/99
Dvalishvili 18
21 O'Malley
JMMMCH pick Dvalishvili
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Dvalishvili 21-4 VS 19-3 O'Malley
5'6" height 5'11"
135 lb weight 135 lb
68" reach 72"
35 age 31
Orthodox stance Switch
4.3 strikes landed / min 5.4
39% striking accuracy 55%
3.1 strikes absorbed / min 3.7
60% striking defence 56%
8.2 takedowns / 15 min 0.2
47% takedown accuracy 33%
76% takedown defence 82%
0.3 submissions / 15 min 0.2
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
RU RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Merab Dvalishvili VALUE $1.77
CR Capitán Rafucho picks Merab Dvalishvili “Merab Dvalishvili is doing very knockout second round against Merab Dvalishvili”
TD The Rambling Dad picks Merab Dvalishvili “I'm gonna go with Merab Dvalishvili [ __ ] it Merab Dvalishvili okay finally we got answer from three yeah I see I I see Merab Dvalishvili get forward on this one”
TM The MMA-Holes picks Merab Dvalishvili VALUE “I already made a bet on Merab Dvalishvili $50 straight up”
PP Pick Pocket Podcast picks Sean O'Malley “I'm on Sean O'Malley I'm big on ... just go all in on Sean O'Malley ... Sean O'Malley either knocks out Merab Dvalishvili ... to win Sean O'Malley”
CC Combat Sports Central picks Merab Dvalishvili “favoring Merab Dvalishvili a little bit”
IL IBG Live picks Merab Dvalishvili “I think Merab Dvalishvili wins”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Merab Dvalishvili “I'm going for Merab Dvalishvili”
SP SportsLine picks Sean O'Malley “I think he pieces him up and finds a knockout”
SP SportsLine picks Merab Dvalishvili VALUE “I've actually got Merab Dvalishvili take the juicy plus 110 here on Merab Dvalishvili” $2.10
DS Dynes Sports picks Sean O'Malley “I have my money on on Sean O'Malley already ... am going to side with Sean O'Malley though ... I'm with you on Sean O'Malley”
WP We Want Picks picks Sean O'Malley “I am going to pick Sean O'Malley here”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Dvalishvili21-4
L Yan Decision · R5 Dec '25
W Sandhagen Decision · R5 Oct '25
W O'Malley Submission · R3 Jun '25
W Nurmagomedov Decision · R5 Jan '25
W O'Malley Decision · R5 Sep '24
O'Malley19-3
W Zahabi KO/TKO · R2 Jun '26
W Yadong Decision · R3 Jan '26
L Dvalishvili Submission · R3 Jun '25
L Dvalishvili Decision · R5 Sep '24
W Vera Decision · R5 Mar '24