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UFC 306: O'Malley vs. Dvalishvili
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MD SO Dvalishvili vs O'MalleyMain Card · Bantamweight VS AG Shevchenko vs GrassoMain Card · Women'S Flyweight DL BO Lopes vs OrtegaMain Card · Featherweight ER DZ Ribovics vs ZellhuberMain Card · Lightweight RR OO Rodríguez vs OsbourneMain Card · Flyweight ND IA Dumont vs AldanaPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight IB MT Bahamondes vs TorresPreliminary Card · Lightweight KS YJ Souza vs JaureguiPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight JV ÉC Van vs CháirezPreliminary Card · Flyweight RJ AQ Rosas Jr. vs QilengEarly Preliminary Card · Bantamweight
BEST PRICE Prophecy read Bahamondes v Torres Lightweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus22 picks · conf 46/99
Bahamondes 13
9 Torres
MURCMD pick Bahamondes
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Bahamondes 0-0 VS 17-3 Torres
6'3" height 5'10"
155 lb weight 156 lb
75" reach 73"
28 age 31
Orthodox stance Switch
7.2 strikes landed / min 7.2
47% striking accuracy 55%
4.4 strikes absorbed / min 4.5
57% striking defence 52%
0.0 takedowns / 15 min 2.3
0% takedown accuracy 66%
85% takedown defence 88%
0.3 submissions / 15 min 1.1
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
TM The MMA-Holes picks Ignacio Bahamondes “I'm gonna go Ignacio Bahamondes yeah he Ignacio Bahamondes roll with Ignacio Bahamondes okay so we're all Ignacio Bahamondes is fighting her hold almost done”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Ignacio Bahamondes VALUE “ignasio bandes he wants to go for the finish”
WP We Want Picks picks Ignacio Bahamondes VALUE “he's going to be the pick”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Manuel Torres “I'm a Manuel Manuel Torres Manuel Torres believer I like torres's style I like his violent approach and I guess I'm not overly sold on Ignacio Bahamondes Bahamondes” $1.77
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Ignacio Bahamondes “give me Ignacio Bahamondes to win this fight I think he breaks Manuel Torres down the stretch and wins by second round knockout”
PR Premium-Picks picks Manuel Torres VALUE “I like Manuel Torres early I have 100 bucks on him from a couple weeks ago when he was like a plus 140 or something like that so I do still have a 100 bucks on him I did like him as an underdog”
MD MMA Mic Drop picks Ignacio Bahamondes “I'm gonna go Ignacio Bahamondes by first round TKO”
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Ignacio Bahamondes “give me the H give me ignasio Bandz”
FI FightOwl picks Manuel Torres VALUE “I fancy a sub in this one ... NOT_IN_ROSTER_18 has been sub twice by lesser caliber jiujitsu players than Manuel Torres TZ so I just fancy him to to catch him in something”
BA babysharpMMA🦈 picks Manuel Torres “I'll go with Manuel Torres here”
OS Once Upon A Slugfest picks Manuel Torres VALUE “my subscribers and I went with Manuel Torres”
MM MMAPlaya picks Ignacio Bahamondes “I'm picking Ignacio Bahamondes on this know it's in their blood but Ignacio Bahamondes and I know you can get to him Ignacio Bahamondes either uh Manuel Torres or Ignacio Bahamondes they what Ignacio Bahamondes STS 80% of the time are shots so I'm going to Ignacio Bahamondes this year in him I think Ignacio Bahamondes has a much higher ceiling so I'm going with a Ignacio Bahamondes”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Bahamondes0-0
L Musayev Decision · R3 Mar '26
L Fiziev Decision · R3 Jun '25
W Turner Submission · R1 Mar '25
W Torres KO/TKO · R1 Sep '24
W Giagos KO/TKO · R1 Apr '24
Torres17-3
L Fiziev KO/TKO · R2 Jun '26
W Dawson KO/TKO · R1 Dec '25
W Dober KO/TKO · R1 Mar '25
L Bahamondes KO/TKO · R1 Sep '24
W Duncan Submission · R1 Feb '24