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Fakhretdinov vs LealPreliminary Card · Welterweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Fakhretdinov v Leal
Welterweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Fakhretdinov 24-1-1
VS
21-6 Leal
6'0"
height
5'11"
170 lb
weight
170 lb
74"
reach
74"
34
age
32
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
4.8
strikes landed / min
7.1
54%
striking accuracy
43%
2.7
strikes absorbed / min
7.3
66%
striking defence
50%
2.0
takedowns / 15 min
1.0
30%
takedown accuracy
25%
71%
takedown defence
89%
1.5
submissions / 15 min
0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
FM
FunkyBunch MMA picks Rinat Fakhretdinov
“I'm picking Rinat Fakhretdinov low medium confidence low medium confidence in the decision”
$1.36
FunkyBunch MMA picks Rinat Fakhretdinov
“I'm picking Rinat Fakhretdinov low medium confidence low medium confidence in the decision”
$1.36
CS
CBS Sports picks Rinat Fakhretdinov VALUE
“I'm going with two guys that have one thing in common, and that is just smothering pressure wrestling. That's not Rinat Fakhretdinov and meek Dybek... I'm going to put them together and get -110 odds there.”
$1.91
CBS Sports picks Rinat Fakhretdinov VALUE
“I'm going with two guys that have one thing in common, and that is just smothering pressure wrestling. That's not Rinat Fakhretdinov and meek Dybek... I'm going to put them together and get -110 odds there.”
$1.91
ST
StunnaSwitch picks Rinat Fakhretdinov VALUE
“I'll sprinkle L on that Rinat Fakhretdinov submission if you could catch that neck”
StunnaSwitch picks Rinat Fakhretdinov VALUE
“I'll sprinkle L on that Rinat Fakhretdinov submission if you could catch that neck”
CP
Combat Chatters Podcast picks Rinat Fakhretdinov
“I'm going to go with Rinat Fakhretdinov”
Combat Chatters Podcast picks Rinat Fakhretdinov
“I'm going to go with Rinat Fakhretdinov”
KM
KA MMA picks Rinat Fakhretdinov
“finally for the regular tickets we got uh Le the dog of the week of course we're not forgetting about Carlos Leal working over Rinat Fakhretdinov late in the fight when he's all tired and oh he's going to make him question question himself after this fight Rinat Fakhretdinov”
KA MMA picks Rinat Fakhretdinov
“finally for the regular tickets we got uh Le the dog of the week of course we're not forgetting about Carlos Leal working over Rinat Fakhretdinov late in the fight when he's all tired and oh he's going to make him question question himself after this fight Rinat Fakhretdinov”
KM
KA MMA picks Carlos Leal VALUE
“finally for the regular tickets we got uh Le the dog of the week of course we're not forgetting about Carlos Leal working over Rinat Fakhretdinov late in the fight when he's all tired and oh he's going to make him question question himself after this fight Rinat Fakhretdinov uh then uh we put this ticket in uh just as like a safety net kind of ticket worth uh two times your money”
KA MMA picks Carlos Leal VALUE
“finally for the regular tickets we got uh Le the dog of the week of course we're not forgetting about Carlos Leal working over Rinat Fakhretdinov late in the fight when he's all tired and oh he's going to make him question question himself after this fight Rinat Fakhretdinov uh then uh we put this ticket in uh just as like a safety net kind of ticket worth uh two times your money”
GI
GiulianoArgenti picks Rinat Fakhretdinov VALUE
“GeRinat Fakhretdinov Neal to beat Rafael dos Anjos”
GiulianoArgenti picks Rinat Fakhretdinov VALUE
“GeRinat Fakhretdinov Neal to beat Rafael dos Anjos”
GI
GiulianoArgenti picks Carlos Leal VALUE
“Carlos Lealrone Carlos Lealrone Murphy to beat Dan Dan Ige Dan Ige”
GiulianoArgenti picks Carlos Leal VALUE
“Carlos Lealrone Carlos Lealrone Murphy to beat Dan Dan Ige Dan Ige”
MN
MMA Lock of the Night picks Rinat Fakhretdinov
“look for fard of to win this fight on the scorecards”
MMA Lock of the Night picks Rinat Fakhretdinov
“look for fard of to win this fight on the scorecards”
LM
Livid Larry MMA picks Rinat Fakhretdinov VALUE
“I'm going to go with Robert Whittaker”
Livid Larry MMA picks Rinat Fakhretdinov VALUE
“I'm going to go with Robert Whittaker”
KU
Kunath picks Carlos Leal VALUE
“I wouldn't be surprised if Carlos Leal ends up springing the upset here”
Kunath picks Carlos Leal VALUE
“I wouldn't be surprised if Carlos Leal ends up springing the upset here”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Fakhretdinov24-1-1
W
Gustafsson
Sep '25
W
Leal
Oct '24
W
Dalby
Jun '24
W
Lee
Jul '23
W
Battle
Dec '22
Leal21-6
W
Njokuani
Feb '26
W
Morono
Mar '25
L
Fakhretdinov
Oct '24