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Ankalaev vs RakićMain Card · Light Heavyweight
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Murphy vs IgeMain Card · Featherweight
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Magomedov vs PetrosyanMain Card · Middleweight
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Aslan vs CerqueiraPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
GN
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Neal vs AnjosPreliminary Card · Welterweight
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Rębecki vs OrolbaiPreliminary Card · Catchweight
AM
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Magomedov vs FerreiraPreliminary Card · Middleweight
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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Aslan v Cerqueira
Light Heavyweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Aslan 14-1
VS
11-1 Cerqueira
—
height
—
—
weight
—
—
reach
—
30
age
36
Orthodox
stance
Southpaw
8.3
strikes landed / min
1.2
50%
striking accuracy
100%
4.3
strikes absorbed / min
32.9
64%
striking defence
22%
0.0
takedowns / 15 min
0.0
0%
takedown accuracy
0%
100%
takedown defence
0%
0.0
submissions / 15 min
0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
CP
Capper Comparison Picks picks Raffael Cerqueira
“I got Raffael Cerqueira ... that's my pick ... we're all taking ... Raffael Cerqueira”
Capper Comparison Picks picks Raffael Cerqueira
“I got Raffael Cerqueira ... that's my pick ... we're all taking ... Raffael Cerqueira”
TM
Trips Talks MMA picks Raffael Cerqueira VALUE
“I'm actually going to take the newcomer here in Raffael Cerqueira I'm I'm torn because Ibo Aslan he is a big favorite heading into this fight a lot of people believe in this guy but I don't know I'm smelling a bit of an upset here I think Carrera has all the skills to get the job done in this matchup so give me him at plus money and give me him in exciting fashion I think if he is going to win this fight it's going to have to be by finish”
Trips Talks MMA picks Raffael Cerqueira VALUE
“I'm actually going to take the newcomer here in Raffael Cerqueira I'm I'm torn because Ibo Aslan he is a big favorite heading into this fight a lot of people believe in this guy but I don't know I'm smelling a bit of an upset here I think Carrera has all the skills to get the job done in this matchup so give me him at plus money and give me him in exciting fashion I think if he is going to win this fight it's going to have to be by finish”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Raffael Cerqueira VALUE
“maybe you know a little bit of a lean towards Raffael Cerqueira here at 8,000”
$81.00
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Raffael Cerqueira VALUE
“maybe you know a little bit of a lean towards Raffael Cerqueira here at 8,000”
$81.00
MN
MMA Lock of the Night picks Ibo Aslan
“look for Sara to wrap up a submission within five minutes”
MMA Lock of the Night picks Ibo Aslan
“look for Sara to wrap up a submission within five minutes”
LM
Livid Larry MMA picks Raffael Cerqueira
“I'm going to be siding with Rafael Carneiro”
Livid Larry MMA picks Raffael Cerqueira
“I'm going to be siding with Rafael Carneiro”
MN
Mayo Media Network picks Raffael Cerqueira VALUE
“he's also going to be my pick to win um ... I like Raffael Cerqueira currently more than Ibo Aslan at 8K”
Mayo Media Network picks Raffael Cerqueira VALUE
“he's also going to be my pick to win um ... I like Raffael Cerqueira currently more than Ibo Aslan at 8K”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Raffael Cerqueira VALUE
“I am picking Raffael Cerqueira to take this thing home”
$1.77
MMA EXPERTS picks Raffael Cerqueira VALUE
“I am picking Raffael Cerqueira to take this thing home”
$1.77
PP
Parlay Princes picks Ibo Aslan
“I'm betting Ibo Aslan Aslan for no reIbo Aslan Aslan lock it in”
Parlay Princes picks Ibo Aslan
“I'm betting Ibo Aslan Aslan for no reIbo Aslan Aslan lock it in”
EC
Ethan Caissie picks Ibo Aslan VALUE
“I'm going to say someone's getting knocked out”
Ethan Caissie picks Ibo Aslan VALUE
“I'm going to say someone's getting knocked out”
IL
IBG Live picks Raffael Cerqueira
“I'm going with Raffael Cerqueira bro I'm rooting for you big bro just cuz you're undefeated”
IBG Live picks Raffael Cerqueira
“I'm going with Raffael Cerqueira bro I'm rooting for you big bro just cuz you're undefeated”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Aslan14-1
W
Cerqueira
Oct '24
W
Turkalj
Mar '24
Cerqueira11-1
L
Bukauskas
Feb '25
L
Aslan
Oct '24