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UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Naurdiev v Silva Middleweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus57 picks · conf 72/99
Naurdiev 37
20 Silva
TCHUMT pick Naurdiev
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Naurdiev 24-7 VS 14-5-2 Silva
5'10" height 5'4"
186 lb weight 125 lb
74" reach 65"
29 age 36
Orthodox stance Orthodox
3.4 strikes landed / min 3.3
53% striking accuracy 48%
1.5 strikes absorbed / min 3.1
66% striking defence 58%
1.6 takedowns / 15 min 2.3
40% takedown accuracy 28%
72% takedown defence 60%
0.2 submissions / 15 min 0.2
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
OS Once Upon A Slugfest picks Ismail Naurdiev VALUE “I went with Ismael Nerf” $2.05
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Ismail Naurdiev “give me Ismail Naurdiev”
FM FunkyBunch MMA picks Ismail Naurdiev “give me Ismail Naurdiev low confidence in this fight going decision” $1.59
CP Combat Chatters Podcast picks Ismail Naurdiev “I'm going to go with Ismail Naurdiev because you know he is the younger guy”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Ismail Naurdiev VALUE “I don't mind some Ismail Naurdiev here” $84.00
LM Livid Larry MMA picks Ismail Naurdiev “I'll be locking in Magomed Ankalaev”
RM Rare MMA picks Ismail Naurdiev VALUE “Ismail Naurdiev versus Bruno Silva decision”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Ismail Naurdiev VALUE “I'm going with Ismail Naurdiev to beat Bruno Silva” $1.57
PP Parlay Princes picks Bruno Silva VALUE “I am going to go Bruno Bruno Silva Bruno Silva here too”
EC Ethan Caissie picks Bruno Silva VALUE “I'm going to take him I'm taking Farid Basharat probably by decision”
IL IBG Live picks Ismail Naurdiev “give me give me Ismail Naurdiev give me give me him”
MW Making the Walk picks Bruno Silva VALUE $5.00
Recent form last five, most recent first
Naurdiev24-7
W Loder KO/TKO · R1 Nov '25
L Jun-yong Decision · R3 Jun '25
W Silva Decision · R3 Oct '24
L Brady Decision · R3 Feb '20
W Bahadurzada Decision · R3 Sep '19
Silva14-5-2
L Barriault KO/TKO · R1 May '25
L Naurdiev Decision · R3 Oct '24
L Weidman Decision · R3 Mar '24
L Magomedov Decision · R3 Oct '23
L Allen Submission · R1 Jun '23