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Elder vs YoungPreliminary Card · Lightweight
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Garry vs PratesMain Card · Welterweight
ZM
AS
Mingyang vs SmithMain Card · Light Heavyweight
DO
GC
Onama vs ChikadzeMain Card · Catchweight
AM
Magomedov vs PereiraMain Card · Middleweight
RB
ND
Brown vs DalbyMain Card · Welterweight
IA
AM
Aliskerov vs MunizMain Card · Middleweight
MS
JF
Schnell vs FlickPreliminary Card · Flyweight
EE
GY
Elder vs YoungPreliminary Card · Lightweight
CG
JC
Gutiérrez vs CastañedaPreliminary Card · Featherweight
DB
AH
Blackshear vs HeiliPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
MW
CS
Wellmaker vs SaaimanPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
JA
PV
Amorim vs VianaPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
TC
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Cuamba vs RomeroPreliminary Card · Featherweight
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CC
Edwards vs ChandlerPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Elder v Young
Lightweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Elder 10-2
VS
10-3 Young
5'10"
height
5'9"
156 lb
weight
155 lb
72"
reach
70"
29
age
25
Switch
stance
Orthodox
2.0
strikes landed / min
3.4
60%
striking accuracy
35%
3.9
strikes absorbed / min
4.2
71%
striking defence
46%
2.5
takedowns / 15 min
1.5
44%
takedown accuracy
71%
90%
takedown defence
79%
0.6
submissions / 15 min
1.9
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
TD
The Rambling Dad picks Evan Elder VALUE
CP
Capper Comparison Picks picks Evan Elder
“I got Evan Elder.”
FF
Fight Fiend Forecast picks Evan Elder VALUE
“Give me Evan Elder. ... Get the win. Decision knockout submission.”
T™
TheWagerZone ™ picks Evan Elder VALUE
“I'm taking Evan Elder in this one”
JW
Johnny Walker picks Evan Elder
“Eu acho que vai dar o veterano da casa. Evan Elder, Evan Elder, Vitó, Evan Elder Elder”
BB
Beat The Line Broadcast picks Evan Elder
“I think that Elders solid and a and a really well-trained guy.”
BB
Beat The Line Broadcast picks Gauge Young VALUE
“I'm going to pick him to to get this this uh this upset in his hometown.”
WP
We Want Picks picks Evan Elder VALUE
“Evan Elder is the pick though.”
BL
BlazeMMA picks Evan Elder
“I think Evanelder is going to be able to pull off the victory here.”
GM
GLO MMA picks Evan Elder
“pick Evan Elder to win this”
OH
OhioPlayer picks Gauge Young VALUE
“Gauge Young impressed me a lot.”
MN
MMA Lock of the Night picks Evan Elder
“I believe that will eventually lead to Evan Elder Elder winning this fight on the scorecards.”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Elder10-2
W
Young
Apr '25
W
Flowers
Jul '24
W
Valdez
Jul '23
L
Sadykhov
Feb '23
L
Parsons
Apr '22
Young10-3
W
Moisés
Apr '26
W
Hayisaer
Aug '25
L
Elder
Apr '25