MMA Prophecy
🌐BEST
UFC on ESPN: Machado Garry vs. Prates
Choose a fight to analyse
IG CP Garry vs PratesMain Card · Welterweight ZM AS Mingyang vs SmithMain Card · Light Heavyweight DO GC Onama vs ChikadzeMain Card · Catchweight AM MP Magomedov vs PereiraMain Card · Middleweight RB ND Brown vs DalbyMain Card · Welterweight IA AM Aliskerov vs MunizMain Card · Middleweight MS JF Schnell vs FlickPreliminary Card · Flyweight EE GY Elder vs YoungPreliminary Card · Lightweight CG JC Gutiérrez vs CastañedaPreliminary Card · Featherweight DB AH Blackshear vs HeiliPreliminary Card · Bantamweight MW CS Wellmaker vs SaaimanPreliminary Card · Bantamweight JA PV Amorim vs VianaPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight TC RR Cuamba vs RomeroPreliminary Card · Featherweight JE CC Edwards vs ChandlerPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight
BEST PRICE Prophecy read Elder v Young Lightweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
New here? Create a free account for the full leaderboard & bet tracker
Consensus48 picks · conf 68/99
Elder 39
9 Young
TSTIMM pick Elder
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Elder 10-2 VS 10-3 Young
5'10" height 5'9"
156 lb weight 155 lb
72" reach 70"
29 age 25
Switch stance Orthodox
2.0 strikes landed / min 3.4
60% striking accuracy 35%
3.9 strikes absorbed / min 4.2
71% striking defence 46%
2.5 takedowns / 15 min 1.5
44% takedown accuracy 71%
90% takedown defence 79%
0.6 submissions / 15 min 1.9
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only Go Pro →
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
TD The Rambling Dad picks Evan Elder VALUE
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Evan Elder “I got Evan Elder.”
FF Fight Fiend Forecast picks Evan Elder VALUE “Give me Evan Elder. ... Get the win. Decision knockout submission.”
T™ TheWagerZone ™ picks Evan Elder VALUE “I'm taking Evan Elder in this one”
JW Johnny Walker picks Evan Elder “Eu acho que vai dar o veterano da casa. Evan Elder, Evan Elder, Vitó, Evan Elder Elder”
BB Beat The Line Broadcast picks Evan Elder “I think that Elders solid and a and a really well-trained guy.”
BB Beat The Line Broadcast picks Gauge Young VALUE “I'm going to pick him to to get this this uh this upset in his hometown.”
WP We Want Picks picks Evan Elder VALUE “Evan Elder is the pick though.”
BL BlazeMMA picks Evan Elder “I think Evanelder is going to be able to pull off the victory here.”
GM GLO MMA picks Evan Elder “pick Evan Elder to win this”
OH OhioPlayer picks Gauge Young VALUE “Gauge Young impressed me a lot.”
MN MMA Lock of the Night picks Evan Elder “I believe that will eventually lead to Evan Elder Elder winning this fight on the scorecards.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Elder10-2
W Young Decision · R3 Apr '25
W Flowers Submission · R2 Jul '24
W Valdez Decision · R3 Jul '23
L Sadykhov KO/TKO · R3 Feb '23
L Parsons Decision · R3 Apr '22
Young10-3
W Moisés Decision · R3 Apr '26
W Hayisaer Decision · R3 Aug '25
L Elder Decision · R3 Apr '25