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UFC on ESPN: Machado Garry vs. Prates
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Schnell v Flick Flyweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus47 picks · conf 67/99
Schnell 32
15 Flick
TLOJIL pick Schnell
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Schnell 17-10 VS 17-8 Flick
5'8" height 5'7"
126 lb weight 126 lb
70" reach 68"
36 age 35
Orthodox stance Orthodox
4.4 strikes landed / min 1.9
39% striking accuracy 50%
4.6 strikes absorbed / min 5.4
55% striking defence 43%
0.6 takedowns / 15 min 1.6
40% takedown accuracy 21%
50% takedown defence 0%
1.0 submissions / 15 min 4.3
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
TD The Rambling Dad picks Matt Schnell VALUE
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Matt Schnell “I'm going with Matt Schnell”
FF Fight Fiend Forecast picks Matt Schnell “I'm going with the favorite. ... Give me Matt Schnell.”
ES etoft21 sports picks Jimmy Flick VALUE “I'm taking Jimmy Flick.”
T™ TheWagerZone ™ picks Matt Schnell “I'm actually taking Matt Schnell”
XL xLimOnC picks Jimmy Flick “yo creo que se la va a llevar Jimmy Flick”
FE FenceHugMMA picks Jimmy Flick VALUE “I'm probably going to roll with Jimmy Jimmy Flick as the underdog in this one.” $1.56
BB Beat The Line Broadcast picks Matt Schnell VALUE “I think this is a clear Matt Snell spot.” $1.59
WP We Want Picks picks Matt Schnell “Matchell should win this fight.”
BM Bruce Oldham MMA picks Matt Schnell “So, I'm going to go with Matt Schnell to win this fight.”
OH OhioPlayer picks Matt Schnell “I'm just going to go with Jimmy Flick for the hell of it.”
PR Premium-Picks picks Matt Schnell VALUE “I really like Matt Schnell atus 188.” $2.88
Recent form last five, most recent first
Schnell17-10
L Costa KO/TKO · R1 Jun '26
L Morales Submission · R1 Nov '25
W Flick Decision · R3 Apr '25
L Durden Submission · R2 Sep '24
L Erceg KO/TKO · R2 Mar '24
Flick17-8
L Schnell Decision · R3 Apr '25
L Maness Decision · R3 Jun '24
W Gordon Submission · R2 Jan '24
L Costa KO/TKO · R2 Jun '23
L Johnson KO/TKO · R1 Jan '23