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Garry vs PratesMain Card · Welterweight
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Mingyang vs SmithMain Card · Light Heavyweight
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Onama vs ChikadzeMain Card · Catchweight
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Magomedov vs PereiraMain Card · Middleweight
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Brown vs DalbyMain Card · Welterweight
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Aliskerov vs MunizMain Card · Middleweight
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Schnell vs FlickPreliminary Card · Flyweight
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Elder vs YoungPreliminary Card · Lightweight
CG
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Gutiérrez vs CastañedaPreliminary Card · Featherweight
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Blackshear vs HeiliPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
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Wellmaker vs SaaimanPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Machado Garry v Prates
Welterweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Machado Garry 15-0
VS
23-7 Prates
6'3"
height
6'1"
171 lb
weight
170 lb
74"
reach
78"
28
age
32
Orthodox
stance
Switch
5.5
strikes landed / min
4.4
55%
striking accuracy
57%
3.2
strikes absorbed / min
4.6
52%
striking defence
48%
0.8
takedowns / 15 min
0.4
55%
takedown accuracy
100%
69%
takedown defence
91%
0.3
submissions / 15 min
0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
GP
Greedo Plays picks Ian Machado Garry
“We've got our UFC fight Ian Machado Garry versus Carlos Prates full card predictions. Make sure to go check that out.”
Greedo Plays picks Ian Machado Garry
“We've got our UFC fight Ian Machado Garry versus Carlos Prates full card predictions. Make sure to go check that out.”
GP
Greedo Plays picks Carlos Prates
“We've got our UFC fight Ian Machado Garry versus Carlos Prates full card predictions. Make sure to go check that out.”
Greedo Plays picks Carlos Prates
“We've got our UFC fight Ian Machado Garry versus Carlos Prates full card predictions. Make sure to go check that out.”
TD
The Rambling Dad picks Ian Machado Garry VALUE
The Rambling Dad picks Ian Machado Garry VALUE
CP
Capper Comparison Picks picks Ian Machado Garry
“I'm going to pick Ian Machado Garry.”
Capper Comparison Picks picks Ian Machado Garry
“I'm going to pick Ian Machado Garry.”
JM
Jairo MMA picks Carlos Prates VALUE
“creo que Jan Machado Garry no tiene la mandíbula suficiente para aguantar esos batacazos durante los cinco asaltos que dura la pelea.”
Jairo MMA picks Carlos Prates VALUE
“creo que Jan Machado Garry no tiene la mandíbula suficiente para aguantar esos batacazos durante los cinco asaltos que dura la pelea.”
T™
TheWagerZone ™ picks Ian Machado Garry VALUE
“give me Ian Machado Ian Machado Garry to win this fight”
TheWagerZone ™ picks Ian Machado Garry VALUE
“give me Ian Machado Ian Machado Garry to win this fight”
RK
Rico Knows picks Ian Machado Garry VALUE
“Shout out to Ian Machado, Gary. I'm rocking with you, bro. It is a coin flip. Don't get carried away. Don't go multiple multiple units. [...] That's 66% of the time.”
Rico Knows picks Ian Machado Garry VALUE
“Shout out to Ian Machado, Gary. I'm rocking with you, bro. It is a coin flip. Don't get carried away. Don't go multiple multiple units. [...] That's 66% of the time.”
MH
MMA Hoje picks Carlos Prates VALUE
“Eu acho que o Carlos Carlos Pratesos vai ganhar.”
MMA Hoje picks Carlos Prates VALUE
“Eu acho que o Carlos Carlos Pratesos vai ganhar.”
NG
Next Round Gaming picks Ian Machado Garry
“Ian Machado Garry gets caught with that punch.”
Next Round Gaming picks Ian Machado Garry
“Ian Machado Garry gets caught with that punch.”
DB
Denver Sports Betting picks Ian Machado Garry
“I'm going Ian Machado Garry, man.”
Denver Sports Betting picks Ian Machado Garry
“I'm going Ian Machado Garry, man.”
DB
Denver Sports Betting picks Carlos Prates
“Carlos Prates I think he just turns the lights out.”
Denver Sports Betting picks Carlos Prates
“Carlos Prates I think he just turns the lights out.”
MK
Morning Kombat picks Ian Machado Garry VALUE
“Main event. I mean, Ian Machado Garry's probably going to win, right?”
Morning Kombat picks Ian Machado Garry VALUE
“Main event. I mean, Ian Machado Garry's probably going to win, right?”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Machado Garry15-0
W
Muhammad
Nov '25
W
Prates
Apr '25
L
Rakhmonov
Dec '24
W
Page
Jun '24
W
Neal
Feb '24
Prates23-7
W
Maddalena
May '26
W
Edwards
Nov '25
W
Neal
Aug '25
L
Garry
Apr '25
W
Magny
Nov '24