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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Mingyang v Smith Light Heavyweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus39 picks · conf 61/99
Mingyang 33
6 Smith
9SBPTA pick Mingyang
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Mingyang 19-7 VS 38-20 Smith
6'2" height 6'4"
205 lb weight 206 lb
76" reach 76"
27 age 37
Orthodox stance Orthodox
2.1 strikes landed / min 3.2
37% striking accuracy 49%
3.9 strikes absorbed / min 4.6
49% striking defence 46%
0.9 takedowns / 15 min 0.5
49% takedown accuracy 26%
65% takedown defence 50%
0.6 submissions / 15 min 0.6
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
TD The Rambling Dad picks Zhang Mingyang VALUE
FL Fight Lab picks Zhang Mingyang VALUE “This eventually leads to a knockout.”
T™ TheWagerZone ™ picks Zhang Mingyang VALUE “I'm taking Yang in this one”
DB Denver Sports Betting picks Zhang Mingyang “I got Zhang Mingyang, um, on this one”
DB Denver Sports Betting picks Anthony Smith VALUE “I'm going to put my money on Anthony Anthony Smith”
BB Beat The Line Broadcast picks Anthony Smith “Not directly quoted.”
BB Beat The Line Broadcast picks Zhang Mingyang “Not directly quoted.”
WP We Want Picks picks Zhang Mingyang VALUE “I do think Jen gets it done.”
LM Luis MMA picks Zhang Mingyang “y creo que viene imparable y va a arrogar a Anthony Smith. Sinceramente, cabe la posibilidad de que Anthony Smith... pero como se plantea intercambiar manos con Zhang Mingyang, estoy seguro que Antonio Am va a ser el que se vaya a dormir”
FI Fight_Numerology picks Zhang Mingyang “I'm going to pick Jeyang over Anthony Smith.”
BE BetSam picks Zhang Mingyang VALUE “I love him here. I think he's safe to parlay.”
PN Picks Nation picks Zhang Mingyang VALUE “I think he's going to blow through Anthony Smith.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Mingyang19-7
L Menifield KO/TKO · R1 May '26
L Walker KO/TKO · R2 Aug '25
W Smith KO/TKO · R1 Apr '25
W Diaz KO/TKO · R1 Nov '24
W Ribeiro KO/TKO · R1 Feb '24
Smith38-20
L Mingyang KO/TKO · R1 Apr '25
L Reyes KO/TKO · R2 Dec '24
L Dolidze Decision · R3 Jun '24
W Petrino Submission · R1 May '24
L Rountree Jr. KO/TKO · R3 Dec '23