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UFC on ABC: Whittaker vs. de Ridder
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Whittaker v de Ridder Middleweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus91 picks · conf 82/99
Whittaker 56
35 de Ridder
EPRBBH pick Whittaker
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Whittaker 27-8 VS 21-3 de Ridder
6'0" height 6'4"
185 lb weight 186 lb
74" reach 78"
35 age 35
Orthodox stance Southpaw
4.5 strikes landed / min 4.2
43% striking accuracy 47%
3.4 strikes absorbed / min 4.3
59% striking defence 59%
0.8 takedowns / 15 min 2.0
38% takedown accuracy 60%
81% takedown defence 87%
0.0 submissions / 15 min 1.2
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
BM Bruce Oldham MMA picks Robert Whittaker “I think Robert Whittaker is going to get a TKO or a KO in this fight against Rain Der.”
JO JorgeFlyingKnee picks Robert Whittaker “I do think Robert Whittaker will probably butcher him”
DS Dynes Sports picks Robert Whittaker VALUE “I think he's a good bet here at this price. And I I'm certainly backing him this weekend.” $1.59
HB Half The Battle picks Robert Whittaker VALUE “but I'm taking Robert Whittaker.”
FI FightDudes picks Robert Whittaker VALUE “I got a three-legg parlay. It's going to be Sharabutdin Magomedov, NOT_IN_ROSTER_1, and Robert Whittaker.”
MS Mister C the Informal Spectator picks Robert Whittaker “I'm going Robert Whittaker.”
OF Occupy Fantasy picks Robert Whittaker VALUE “I'm kind of backing him here with some confidence... Robert Whittaker definitely the side for me and I would play him pretty comfortably up until minus 200.” $1.60
CM Crossover MMA picks Reinier de Ridder “I'm gonna go with Robert Whitaker.”
ED EZ DIMES picks Robert Whittaker “I am done betting against the Ritter.”
MM MMACOOLQUAY picks Robert Whittaker “If I had to choose a fighter, I'm gonna go with Robert Whittaker.”
HN Hidden Source News picks Robert Whittaker VALUE “However, Robert Whittaker is very live, especially if he can keep the fight standing.”
HN Hidden Source News picks Reinier de Ridder VALUE “We are slightly leaning Reinier de Ridder here due to his relentless pressure and submission threat.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Whittaker27-8
L Ridder Decision · R5 Jul '25
L Chimaev Submission · R1 Oct '24
W Aliskerov KO/TKO · R1 Jun '24
W Costa Decision · R3 Feb '24
L Plessis KO/TKO · R2 Jul '23
de Ridder21-3
L Borralho Decision · R3 Mar '26
L Allen KO/TKO · R4 Oct '25
W Whittaker Decision · R5 Jul '25
W Nickal KO/TKO · R2 May '25
W Holland Submission · R1 Jan '25