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Prophecy read
Almabayev v Ochoa
Flyweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus1 picks · conf 10/99
pick Almabayev
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Almabayev 23-3
VS
7-1 Ochoa
5'4"
height
5'6"
125 lb
weight
126 lb
65"
reach
67"
32
age
25
Orthodox
stance
Southpaw
2.1
strikes landed / min
3.3
56%
striking accuracy
31%
1.0
strikes absorbed / min
3.4
59%
striking defence
59%
5.1
takedowns / 15 min
0.0
50%
takedown accuracy
0%
50%
takedown defence
100%
1.7
submissions / 15 min
1.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
BM
Bruce Oldham MMA picks José Ochoa
“I'm going to go with José Ochoa. I think he should get this one done”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Almabayev23-3
W
Johnson
Jun '26
W
Perez
Nov '25
W
Ochoa
Jul '25
L
Kape
Mar '25
W
Nicolau
Oct '24
Ochoa7-1
L
Almabayev
Jul '25