MMA Prophecy
🌐BEST
UFC on ABC: Whittaker vs. de Ridder
Choose a fight to analyse
RW RR Whittaker vs RidderMain Card · Middleweight SM MB Magomedov vs BarriaultMain Card · Middleweight NK BG Krylov vs GuskovMain Card · Light Heavyweight İA BE Aslan vs ElekanaPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight PY MM Yan vs McGheeMain Card · Bantamweight BM SN Mitchell vs NurmagomedovPreliminary Card · Bantamweight AR TR Ribas vs RicciPreliminary Card · Women'S Straweight MS CM Salikhov vs MirandaPreliminary Card · Welterweight MB MB Buday vs BuchechaPreliminary Card · Heavyweight MY SN Yahya vs NguyenPreliminary Card · Featherweight DG DB Grant vs BlackshearPreliminary Card · Bantamweight AA JO Almabayev vs OchoaMain Card · Flyweight
BEST PRICE Prophecy read Mitchell v Nurmagomedov Bantamweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
New here? Create a free account for the full leaderboard & bet tracker
Consensus74 picks · conf 77/99
Mitchell 51
23 Nurmagomedov
BSRBMB pick Mitchell
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Mitchell 18-4 VS 18-5 Nurmagomedov
5'10" height 5'8"
136 lb weight 136 lb
70" reach 70"
31 age 34
Southpaw stance Orthodox
2.3 strikes landed / min 3.5
58% striking accuracy 47%
1.6 strikes absorbed / min 2.1
58% striking defence 57%
3.5 takedowns / 15 min 1.0
41% takedown accuracy 16%
33% takedown defence 66%
1.6 submissions / 15 min 1.4
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only Go Pro →
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Bryce Mitchell “so I got Bryce Mitchell.”
BM Bruce Oldham MMA picks Bryce Mitchell “I'm going to go with Bryce Mitchell because the dude is just a character and I want to see him win in the UFC.”
TF THE MMA FRISBY picks Bryce Mitchell “I'm going to go with Bryce for that one.”
FI FightDudes picks Bryce Mitchell “I'm gonna go with Sed Normega Medov.”
MS Mister C the Informal Spectator picks Bryce Mitchell “I'm going to have to side with Bryce Mitchell.”
WP We Want Picks picks Bryce Mitchell “I got to go with Bryce Mitchell.”
OF Occupy Fantasy picks Said Nurmagomedov VALUE “I think Said Nurmagomedov'Said Nurmagomedov kind of the side if we're talking about value.” $2.20
IZ Izzysdegenmind picks Bryce Mitchell VALUE “give me Bryce Mitchell to win by decision” $1.76
IF Inside Fighting picks Bryce Mitchell “I got I got Bryce Mitchell winning this one. I think it's going to be close, but the odds kind of reflect that.”
ED EZ DIMES picks Said Nurmagomedov “Some people will bet him, but, you know, he's not a wrestling tank like the other NGOs.”
BB Basement Breakdown picks Said Nurmagomedov “I think Said Nurmagomedov is going to beat Bryce Mitchell. I think it's a very interesting fight and you could make arguments for both fighters but I side with say.”
HN Hidden Source News picks Said Nurmagomedov VALUE “We're siding with Said Nurmagomedov since his takedown defense has held up well in the past and honestly if he can avoid getting trapped underneath Mitchell, he should have the tools to win this one on the feet.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Mitchell18-4
W Luna Submission · R3 Jun '26
W Nurmagomedov Decision · R3 Jul '25
L Silva Submission · R2 Apr '25
W Gracie KO/TKO · R3 Dec '24
L Emmett KO/TKO · R1 Dec '23
Nurmagomedov18-5
L Mitchell Decision · R3 Jul '25
L Oliveira Decision · R3 Feb '25
W Gafurov Submission · R1 Oct '23
L Martinez Decision · R3 Mar '23
W Kakhramonov Submission · R2 Dec '22