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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Buday v Buchecha
Heavyweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Buday 14-2
VS
5-2-1 Buchecha
6'4"
height
6'2"
266 lb
weight
254 lb
77"
reach
77"
34
age
36
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
4.8
strikes landed / min
—
53%
striking accuracy
—
5.5
strikes absorbed / min
—
52%
striking defence
—
0.2
takedowns / 15 min
—
25%
takedown accuracy
—
100%
takedown defence
—
0.2
submissions / 15 min
—
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
WP
We Want Picks picks Martin Buday
“I do think he can sneak out the win here.”
We Want Picks picks Martin Buday
“I do think he can sneak out the win here.”
OF
Occupy Fantasy picks Marcus Buchecha VALUE
“I am on the Mucha side here... I think he'Said Nurmagomedov going to be under represented.”
Occupy Fantasy picks Marcus Buchecha VALUE
“I am on the Mucha side here... I think he'Said Nurmagomedov going to be under represented.”
CM
Crossover MMA picks Martin Buday VALUE
“I think first round submission is definitely live.”
Crossover MMA picks Martin Buday VALUE
“I think first round submission is definitely live.”
MM
MMAnomaly picks Martin Buday VALUE
“give me Bes is gonna come in here hot knife through butter get get bud down and we're going to see that that fourth degree black belt go to work and uh I wouldn't be surprised if we get an early submission in this one.”
MMAnomaly picks Martin Buday VALUE
“give me Bes is gonna come in here hot knife through butter get get bud down and we're going to see that that fourth degree black belt go to work and uh I wouldn't be surprised if we get an early submission in this one.”
TA
TakeDownTalks picks Marcus Buchecha VALUE
“Give me Marcus Buchecha by submission in the first round. As for the bet, give me Marcus Buchecha money line.”
$1.36
TakeDownTalks picks Marcus Buchecha VALUE
“Give me Marcus Buchecha by submission in the first round. As for the bet, give me Marcus Buchecha money line.”
$1.36
ED
EZ DIMES picks Marcus Buchecha VALUE
“I think I'm sticking with Marcus Buchecha.”
EZ DIMES picks Marcus Buchecha VALUE
“I think I'm sticking with Marcus Buchecha.”
HN
Hidden Source News picks Marcus Buchecha VALUE
“We're slightly picking Marcus Buchecha for his top control and ground and pound, but if Martin Buday survives early and finds his rhythm, a live bet on Martin Buday could have serious value.”
Hidden Source News picks Marcus Buchecha VALUE
“We're slightly picking Marcus Buchecha for his top control and ground and pound, but if Martin Buday survives early and finds his rhythm, a live bet on Martin Buday could have serious value.”
LI
liltoaster picks Martin Buday
“I'm gonna go Marcus because he is supposed to be like the next best grappler for heavyweight”
liltoaster picks Martin Buday
“I'm gonna go Marcus because he is supposed to be like the next best grappler for heavyweight”
SN
SnorkelMMA picks Martin Buday
“I'm going to pick Martin Buday here.”
SnorkelMMA picks Martin Buday
“I'm going to pick Martin Buday here.”
CM
Coty MMA picks Marcus Buchecha VALUE
“I will stick with my pick of Marcus Buchecha”
Coty MMA picks Marcus Buchecha VALUE
“I will stick with my pick of Marcus Buchecha”
TM
The MMA Mystic picks Marcus Buchecha
“I'm going to go with Marcus Buchecha to get this one done by submission and uh to get a win in his UFC debut.”
The MMA Mystic picks Marcus Buchecha
“I'm going to go with Marcus Buchecha to get this one done by submission and uh to get a win in his UFC debut.”
KP
Knockout Picks picks Marcus Buchecha VALUE
“I think Marcus subs him up. Um, yeah, I see that's the way the fight going. I think maybe Marcus even subs him up in the first round.”
Knockout Picks picks Marcus Buchecha VALUE
“I think Marcus subs him up. Um, yeah, I see that's the way the fight going. I think maybe Marcus even subs him up in the first round.”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Buday14-2
W
Buchecha
Jul '25
W
Satybaldiev
Apr '25
W
Arlovski
Jun '24
L
Gaziev
Dec '23
W
Parisian
Aug '23
Buchecha5-2-1
L
Spann
Apr '26
L
Buday
Jul '25