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Tsuruya vs GurulePreliminary Card · Bantamweight
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Tsuruya vs GurulePreliminary Card · Bantamweight
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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Tsuruya v Gurule
Bantamweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus15 picks · conf 36/99
pick Tsuruya
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Tsuruya 10-1
VS
11-3 Gurule
5'6"
height
5'5"
125 lb
weight
125 lb
68"
reach
64"
24
age
32
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
2.3
strikes landed / min
4.6
60%
striking accuracy
62%
1.3
strikes absorbed / min
3.2
46%
striking defence
61%
5.5
takedowns / 15 min
2.1
50%
takedown accuracy
74%
50%
takedown defence
85%
2.5
submissions / 15 min
0.3
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
TH
ThatBettingDude picks Luis Gurule
“I see him managing to get the better of NOT_IN_ROSTER_13. I see him winning by decision, but it is live for him to get a finish. But give me NOT_IN_ROSTER_12 to win by decision.”
ThatBettingDude picks Luis Gurule
“I see him managing to get the better of NOT_IN_ROSTER_13. I see him winning by decision, but it is live for him to get a finish. But give me NOT_IN_ROSTER_12 to win by decision.”
SD
Santino DeFranco picks Luis Gurule VALUE
“man, I just think Luis Gurule is the style to beat Rey. Um, I I know it's going to be hard in Asia, in the hometown, in the situation, but man, if anybody can do it, especially at the odds that Luis Gurule is going to be at with him.”
$3.30
Santino DeFranco picks Luis Gurule VALUE
“man, I just think Luis Gurule is the style to beat Rey. Um, I I know it's going to be hard in Asia, in the hometown, in the situation, but man, if anybody can do it, especially at the odds that Luis Gurule is going to be at with him.”
$3.30
MN
MMA Lock of the Night picks Luis Gurule
“I think he wins by decision, which you can get at plus 340”
$4.40
MMA Lock of the Night picks Luis Gurule
“I think he wins by decision, which you can get at plus 340”
$4.40
CO
ConnorWILLmma picks Luis Gurule
“Ray Suya... he's going to submit him.”
ConnorWILLmma picks Luis Gurule
“Ray Suya... he's going to submit him.”
SD
Santino DeFranco picks Luis Gurule
“I'm gonna I'm gonna I'm gonna go Luis Gurule for the upset even with all the madness.”
Santino DeFranco picks Luis Gurule
“I'm gonna I'm gonna I'm gonna go Luis Gurule for the upset even with all the madness.”
TC
The MMA Casual picks Luis Gurule
“I'm picking Luis Luis Gurule by by unanimous decision.”
The MMA Casual picks Luis Gurule
“I'm picking Luis Luis Gurule by by unanimous decision.”
SO
Stout & Out picks Luis Gurule
“I'm going to say it's going to be in submission. I'm going to say second round submission.”
Stout & Out picks Luis Gurule
“I'm going to say it's going to be in submission. I'm going to say second round submission.”
UF
UFCThoughts picks Luis Gurule
“I'm going Luis Gurule over NOT_IN_ROSTER_39.”
UFCThoughts picks Luis Gurule
“I'm going Luis Gurule over NOT_IN_ROSTER_39.”
SG
Savant of the Fight Game picks Luis Gurule
“I'm actually going to go with Luis Gurule. I'm going to go with Luis Gurule.”
Savant of the Fight Game picks Luis Gurule
“I'm actually going to go with Luis Gurule. I'm going to go with Luis Gurule.”
SM
Southpaw Mindset picks Luis Gurule
“So, a slight lean on Luis Gurule.”
Southpaw Mindset picks Luis Gurule
“So, a slight lean on Luis Gurule.”
BE
BeewolfMMA picks Luis Gurule
“I think that the guy with the possum skulls on his chest is actually going to win this fight.”
BeewolfMMA picks Luis Gurule
“I think that the guy with the possum skulls on his chest is actually going to win this fight.”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Tsuruya10-1
W
Gurule
May '26
L
Van
Mar '25
W
Hernandez
Jun '24
Gurule11-3
L
Tsuruya
May '26
W
Barez
May '26
L
Coria
Feb '26
L
Aguilar
Sep '25
L
Osbourne
Apr '25