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UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Pavlovich v Teixeira Heavyweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus94 picks · conf 83/99
Pavlovich 90
4 Teixeira
Y1PTSM pick Pavlovich
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Pavlovich 20-3 VS 9-1 Teixeira
6'3" height 6'7"
255 lb weight 259 lb
84" reach 83"
34 age 26
Southpaw stance Orthodox
3.1 strikes landed / min 14.9
44% striking accuracy 54%
3.3 strikes absorbed / min 9.7
66% striking defence 58%
1.8 takedowns / 15 min 0.0
25% takedown accuracy 0%
64% takedown defence 0%
1.1 submissions / 15 min 0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
TH ThatBettingDude picks Sergei Pavlovich “I do see Sergei Pavlovich winning by KO.”
SD Santino DeFranco picks Sergei Pavlovich “I think Sergei Pavlovich's hips and wrestling are going to do what they need to do. And I I think he's going to batter um, Tallison Teixeira.” $1.17
HN Hidden Source News picks Tallison Teixeira “My pick is Talison Tallison Teixeira, but I got to say, buy or beware.”
WP Winning In The Shadows Bets and Predictions picks Tallison Teixeira “I'll take the shot and say Tallison Teixeira.”
CA CanIBeCoopy picks Sergei Pavlovich “I'm going Sergei Pavlovich KO first round probably within the first two minutes”
MT Matthew Tennant picks Sergei Pavlovich “he will knock this guy out in the first round”
MT Matthew Tennant picks Sergei Pavlovich “This is Sergey Palic by knockout in round one.”
CC Cage Conversations picks Sergei Pavlovich “With all that, I'm going to go ahead and stick with Sergei Pavlovich.”
TP Tony's Picks picks Sergei Pavlovich “I think Sergei Pavlovich comes out here and knocks out Tallison Teixeira. Give me the uh KO.” $1.16
TH THATMMABRO picks Sergei Pavlovich “round one KO um incoming by Sergei Pavlovich here.”
BI Big_J_MMA picks Sergei Pavlovich “I don't see this fight going any other way than Sergei Pavlovich round one KO... easy pick Sergei Pavlovich”
SH ShiestyMMA picks Sergei Pavlovich “Sergei Pavlovich should by all means, by all accounts, win this.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Pavlovich20-3
W Teixeira KO/TKO · R1 May '26
W Cortes-Acosta Decision · R3 Aug '25
W Rozenstruik Decision · R3 Feb '25
L Volkov Decision · R3 Jun '24
L Aspinall KO/TKO · R1 Nov '23
Teixeira9-1
L Pavlovich KO/TKO · R1 May '26
W Tuivasa Decision · R3 Feb '26
L Lewis KO/TKO · R1 Jul '25
W Tafa KO/TKO · R1 Feb '25