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UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Matthews v Harris Welterweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus3 picks · conf 10/99
Matthews 0
3 Harris
pick Matthews
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Matthews 22-8 VS 19-7 Harris
5'11" height 6'0"
170 lb weight 170 lb
73" reach 76"
31 age 38
Orthodox stance Orthodox
5.9 strikes landed / min 3.2
41% striking accuracy 49%
2.6 strikes absorbed / min 2.7
47% striking defence 52%
2.2 takedowns / 15 min 2.0
40% takedown accuracy 29%
50% takedown defence 55%
1.8 submissions / 15 min 0.8
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
MN MMA Lock of the Night picks Carlston Harris “You can get Carlston Harris by submission at plus”
SC System Capping picks Carlston Harris VALUE “Carlston Harris is live at 280. Great valueer.”
UT UFC Predictions Tracker picks Carlston Harris
Recent form last five, most recent first
Matthews22-8
W Harris Decision · R3 May '26
L Magny Submission · R3 Sep '25
W Njokuani Submission · R1 Jul '25
W Prado Decision · R3 Feb '25
W Rowe Decision · R3 Jun '24
Harris19-7
L Matthews Decision · R3 May '26
L Ponzinibbio KO/TKO · R3 Jan '25
L Williams KO/TKO · R1 May '24
W Wells Submission · R3 Aug '23
W Gooden Decision · R3 Mar '23