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Pavlovich vs TeixeiraMain Card · Heavyweight
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Asakura vs SmothermanMain Card · Bantamweight
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Perez vs MudaerjiMain Card · Flyweight
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Yi-sak vs DiasPreliminary Card · Middleweight
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Meng vs SouzaPreliminary Card · Welterweight
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Qileng vs HaddonPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Perez v Mudaerji
Flyweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Perez 26-10
VS
15-12-2 Mudaerji
5'6"
height
6'7"
128 lb
weight
192 lb
65"
reach
79"
34
age
—
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
4.2
strikes landed / min
3.0
46%
striking accuracy
63%
3.2
strikes absorbed / min
4.7
58%
striking defence
61%
2.0
takedowns / 15 min
1.4
46%
takedown accuracy
53%
77%
takedown defence
72%
0.8
submissions / 15 min
1.8
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
TH
ThatBettingDude picks Su Mudaerji
“I really like the side of Su Mudaerji here. I see him winning on points. I see him managing to out point Alex Perez. So, yeah, give me NOT_IN_ROSTER_22 to win by decision.”
ThatBettingDude picks Su Mudaerji
“I really like the side of Su Mudaerji here. I see him winning on points. I see him managing to out point Alex Perez. So, yeah, give me NOT_IN_ROSTER_22 to win by decision.”
CA
CanIBeCoopy picks Su Mudaerji
“I'm going Su Mudaerji by decision here”
CanIBeCoopy picks Su Mudaerji
“I'm going Su Mudaerji by decision here”
MT
Matthew Tennant picks Alex Perez
“I'm going to go with Alex Perez here, guys.”
Matthew Tennant picks Alex Perez
“I'm going to go with Alex Perez here, guys.”
CC
Cage Conversations picks Alex Perez
“For this one, go ahead and give me Alex Perez Alex Perez by submission.”
Cage Conversations picks Alex Perez
“For this one, go ahead and give me Alex Perez Alex Perez by submission.”
TP
Tony's Picks picks Su Mudaerji VALUE
“I'm taking a shot with the dog, man. Give me Su Mudaerji to get it done. That was my first gut pick, so I'mma stick to it.”
$2.20
Tony's Picks picks Su Mudaerji VALUE
“I'm taking a shot with the dog, man. Give me Su Mudaerji to get it done. That was my first gut pick, so I'mma stick to it.”
$2.20
MN
MMA Lock of the Night picks Alex Perez
“I would probably consider him by submission, which you can get at plus 360”
$4.60
MMA Lock of the Night picks Alex Perez
“I would probably consider him by submission, which you can get at plus 360”
$4.60
TH
THATMMABRO picks Alex Perez
“give me Alex Perez by a smother fest. Okay, 2928 decision there.”
THATMMABRO picks Alex Perez
“give me Alex Perez by a smother fest. Okay, 2928 decision there.”
BI
Big_J_MMA picks Alex Perez
“I'm going to do it. Round two, KO. Alex Perez is back... Alex Perez masterful KO round two”
Big_J_MMA picks Alex Perez
“I'm going to do it. Round two, KO. Alex Perez is back... Alex Perez masterful KO round two”
SH
ShiestyMMA picks Su Mudaerji
“I'm going with Su Mudaerji here.”
ShiestyMMA picks Su Mudaerji
“I'm going with Su Mudaerji here.”
TS
Teddy Striker picks Su Mudaerji
“I'm going to go Su Mudaerji getting this done by decision.”
Teddy Striker picks Su Mudaerji
“I'm going to go Su Mudaerji getting this done by decision.”
AM
Acolyte MMA picks Alex Perez
“I'm going to go Alex Perez by decision.”
Acolyte MMA picks Alex Perez
“I'm going to go Alex Perez by decision.”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Perez26-10
W
Johnson
Jan '26
L
Almabayev
Nov '25
L
Taira
Jun '24
W
Nicolau
Apr '24
L
Mokaev
Mar '24
Mudaerji15-12-2
W
Aguilar
Mar '26
W
Borjas
Aug '25
W
Raposo
Apr '25
L
Johnson
Oct '24
L
Elliott
Dec '23