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UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Bukauskas v Edwards Catchweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus6 picks · conf 18/99
Bukauskas 0
6 Edwards
pick Bukauskas
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Bukauskas 19-7 VS 8-4 Edwards
6'3" height 6'5"
204 lb weight 237 lb
78" reach 78"
32 age 27
Switch stance --
4.4 strikes landed / min —
47% striking accuracy —
2.8 strikes absorbed / min —
64% striking defence —
2.2 takedowns / 15 min —
30% takedown accuracy —
58% takedown defence —
1.0 submissions / 15 min —
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
RS Round 3: Prediction Show picks Christian Edwards “I'm going to take the UFC newcomer to come in here and get the upset. Christian Edwards over Modestas Bukauskas.”
SS Silly Gilly Goose MMA Show picks Christian Edwards “Christian Edwards is going to get a win here.”
TG The Fight Guy picks Christian Edwards “We'll February, Christian Edwards. Um, he's trust Christian Edwards here to get it So, give me Christian Edwards.”
KM Kasper MMA picks Christian Edwards “Christian Edwards ... can um like find a KO here”
TJ Travis Burg JR picks Christian Edwards “number three turns to face the hottest finisher at 135 Christian Edwards”
SH Sherdog.com picks Christian Edwards “Uh I took Christian Edwards... I pick Christian Edwards”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Bukauskas19-7
W Edwards Decision · R3 May '26
L Krylov KO/TKO · R3 Jan '26
W Craig KO/TKO · R1 Sep '25
W Cuțelaba Decision · R3 May '25
W Cerqueira KO/TKO · R1 Feb '25
Edwards8-4
L Bukauskas Decision · R3 May '26