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UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Williams v Veretennikov Welterweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus99 picks · conf 84/99
Williams 62
37 Veretennikov
WA_WBS pick Williams
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Williams 15-5 VS 14-7 Veretennikov
6'0" height 6'1"
170 lb weight 170 lb
77" reach 74"
32 age 36
Orthodox stance Orthodox
5.8 strikes landed / min 5.6
39% striking accuracy 60%
5.4 strikes absorbed / min 3.9
42% striking defence 55%
0.0 takedowns / 15 min 0.9
0% takedown accuracy 41%
80% takedown defence 65%
0.0 submissions / 15 min 0.5
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
RR Rising the Ranks picks Nikolay Veretennikov “I think Nikolay Veretennikov can edge this and can win this”
BM Bum MMA picks Nikolay Veretennikov “I think Nikolay Veretennikov is going to put up more strikes, be more skillful, and win this fight by decision.”
DS DFS Army - Daily Fantasy Sports picks Khaos Williams VALUE “Give me Khaos Williams.” $1.91
UB UFC Brasil picks Khaos Williams “I'm taking Khaos Williams”
RS Round 3: Prediction Show picks Khaos Williams “Khaos Williams by KO isn't a bad”
RS Round 3: Prediction Show picks Nikolay Veretennikov “I'm going to have to go with Very Tenkov.”
TC The Finz Chats picks Nikolay Veretennikov VALUE “I'm going with Nikolay Veretennikov to win this by specifically decision. ... I got 0.28 units on his decision prop plus 380.” $4.80
PH Philyflishow999 picks Khaos Williams “I'm going Khaos Williams here. He's got the better game plan. He's got the better MMA skill set to win this fight.”
TT The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Khaos Williams VALUE “I'll take Chaos Khaos Williams with you as well” $1.95
BG Bettor in Green picks Khaos Williams VALUE “I think I'm actually going to go with Khaos Williams KO here at plus 240.” $3.40
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Nikolay Veretennikov “I'm going to side with Nikolay Veretennikov to win the match up”
AU Austin picks Nikolay Veretennikov “I don't see how you don't go with Nikolay Veretennikov in this one people.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Williams15-5
W Veretennikov KO/TKO · R1 May '26
L Gustafsson Decision · R3 Jun '25
L Bonfim Submission · R2 Feb '25
W Harris KO/TKO · R1 May '24
W Bedoya Decision · R3 May '23
Veretennikov14-7
L Williams KO/TKO · R1 May '26
W Price KO/TKO · R1 Feb '26
L Soriano Decision · R3 Oct '25
W Prado Decision · R3 Jul '25
L Vanderford KO/TKO · R2 Feb '25