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Chimaev vs StricklandFight Card · Middleweight
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Van vs TairaFight Card · Flyweight
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Volkov vs Cortes-AcostaFight Card · Heavyweight
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Brady vs BuckleyFight Card · Welterweight
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Green vs StephensFight Card · Catchweight
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Gautier vs DiazPreliminary Card · Middleweight
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Álvarez vs AmosovPreliminary Card · Welterweight
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Dawson vs RębeckiPreliminary Card · Lightweight
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Miller vs GordonPreliminary Card · Lightweight
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Kopylov vs TulioEarly Preliminary Card · Middleweight
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Sabatini vs GomisEarly Preliminary Card · Featherweight
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Susurkaev vs SantosEarly Preliminary Card · Middleweight
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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Chimaev v Strickland
Middleweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Chimaev 15-0
VS
30-7 Strickland
6'2"
height
6'1"
183 lb
weight
185 lb
75"
reach
76"
32
age
35
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
5.4
strikes landed / min
5.8
58%
striking accuracy
47%
3.2
strikes absorbed / min
4.1
41%
striking defence
58%
4.3
takedowns / 15 min
1.9
46%
takedown accuracy
40%
100%
takedown defence
78%
2.8
submissions / 15 min
0.5
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
PI
PickemMMA picks Khamzat Chimaev
“one of the we got Khamzat Chimaev taking out Sean Strickland. I'm going to go Khamzat Chimaev going Khamzat Chimaev by submission man by We got Jim Miller taking on Sean Strickland in”
PickemMMA picks Khamzat Chimaev
“one of the we got Khamzat Chimaev taking out Sean Strickland. I'm going to go Khamzat Chimaev going Khamzat Chimaev by submission man by We got Jim Miller taking on Sean Strickland in”
DC
Dougies Corner picks Sean Strickland
“Sean Strickland knocks out Khamzat Chimaev.”
Dougies Corner picks Sean Strickland
“Sean Strickland knocks out Khamzat Chimaev.”
KO
Kyle OHare picks Sean Strickland
“think Sean Strickland takes it. Call it believe that Sean Strickland can get it I really do think that Sean Strickland has a path”
Kyle OHare picks Sean Strickland
“think Sean Strickland takes it. Call it believe that Sean Strickland can get it I really do think that Sean Strickland has a path”
TH
Thegoatpicks picks Khamzat Chimaev
“give me Khamzat Chimaev to beat Sean Strickland”
Thegoatpicks picks Khamzat Chimaev
“give me Khamzat Chimaev to beat Sean Strickland”
BM
Bozing MMA picks Khamzat Chimaev
“NOT_IN_ROSTER_59 is taking Khamzat Chimaev. So I probably like you could like know, I could see there like Khamzat Chimaev could taked down threat Khamzat Chimaev has is is know, Khamzat Chimaev's wrestling is inevitable.”
Bozing MMA picks Khamzat Chimaev
“NOT_IN_ROSTER_59 is taking Khamzat Chimaev. So I probably like you could like know, I could see there like Khamzat Chimaev could taked down threat Khamzat Chimaev has is is know, Khamzat Chimaev's wrestling is inevitable.”
UW
Uncle Weezy picks Khamzat Chimaev
“when Khamzat Chimaev finds his finishes is early Kayv or or Khamzat Chimaev”
Uncle Weezy picks Khamzat Chimaev
“when Khamzat Chimaev finds his finishes is early Kayv or or Khamzat Chimaev”
MT
MMA Tugg picks Khamzat Chimaev
“Khamzat Khamzat Chimaev is a lock this week. ... Lock number two, Khamzat Khamzat Chimaev, he's not losing.”
MMA Tugg picks Khamzat Chimaev
“Khamzat Khamzat Chimaev is a lock this week. ... Lock number two, Khamzat Khamzat Chimaev, he's not losing.”
MB
Martial U Breakdown picks Khamzat Chimaev
“I'm picking Khamzat Chimaev by maybe like a round two sub or a round three sub”
Martial U Breakdown picks Khamzat Chimaev
“I'm picking Khamzat Chimaev by maybe like a round two sub or a round three sub”
RX
RX picks Sean Strickland
“Give me Sean Strickland by decision to shock the world one more [ __ ] time.”
RX picks Sean Strickland
“Give me Sean Strickland by decision to shock the world one more [ __ ] time.”
MM
MMAFightingonSBN picks Sean Strickland
“I do want Sean Strickland to win. But do I believe Uh, but if Sean Strickland is able to kind of keep in the fight, I believe Sean Strickland can give against Sean Strickland”
MMAFightingonSBN picks Sean Strickland
“I do want Sean Strickland to win. But do I believe Uh, but if Sean Strickland is able to kind of keep in the fight, I believe Sean Strickland can give against Sean Strickland”
AM
Aniki MMA picks Khamzat Chimaev
“picking Khamzat Chimaev to retain his title by unanimous decision”
Aniki MMA picks Khamzat Chimaev
“picking Khamzat Chimaev to retain his title by unanimous decision”
TG
The Fight Guy picks Sean Strickland
“I'm gonna go with Sean Strickland”
The Fight Guy picks Sean Strickland
“I'm gonna go with Sean Strickland”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Chimaev15-0
L
Strickland
May '26
W
Plessis
Aug '25
W
Whittaker
Oct '24
W
Usman
Oct '23
W
Holland
Sep '22
Strickland30-7
W
Chimaev
May '26
W
Hernandez
Feb '26
L
Plessis
Feb '25
W
Costa
Jun '24
L
Plessis
Jan '24