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Mederos vs PadillaEarly Preliminary Card · Catchweight
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Procházka vs UlbergFight Card · Light Heavyweight
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Blaydes vs HokitFight Card · Heavyweight
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Reyes vs WalkerFight Card · Light Heavyweight
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Murzakanov vs CostaFight Card · Light Heavyweight
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Pitbull vs PicoPreliminary Card · Featherweight
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Swanson vs LandwehrFight Card · Featherweight
MG
ER
Gamrot vs RibovicsPreliminary Card · Lightweight
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Holland vs BrownPreliminary Card · Welterweight
KG
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Gastelum vs LuqueEarly Preliminary Card · Middleweight
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Mederos vs PadillaEarly Preliminary Card · Catchweight
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Radtke vs PradoEarly Preliminary Card · Welterweight
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Suarez vs GodínezPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Mederos v Padilla
Catchweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Mederos 11-1-1
VS
0-0 Padilla
5'10"
height
5'9"
155 lb
weight
155 lb
70"
reach
74"
29
age
30
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
4.7
strikes landed / min
5.8
41%
striking accuracy
61%
4.8
strikes absorbed / min
4.9
45%
striking defence
46%
1.9
takedowns / 15 min
3.3
32%
takedown accuracy
75%
71%
takedown defence
0%
0.6
submissions / 15 min
1.1
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
IT
itsLukas picks Chris Padilla
“I'm going with Chris Padilla Padilla.”
itsLukas picks Chris Padilla
“I'm going with Chris Padilla Padilla.”
CA
CasualMMA picks Chris Padilla VALUE
“I'm going to go Chris Padilla. He's a little more experienced. I think uh he's going to be able to edge out a crafty vet win.”
CasualMMA picks Chris Padilla VALUE
“I'm going to go Chris Padilla. He's a little more experienced. I think uh he's going to be able to edge out a crafty vet win.”
LM
Loki MMA picks MarQuel Mederos VALUE
“MarQuel Mederos took a big jump in his last fight... I think as long as those areas continue to improve... give me MarQuel Mederos by decision.”
Loki MMA picks MarQuel Mederos VALUE
“MarQuel Mederos took a big jump in his last fight... I think as long as those areas continue to improve... give me MarQuel Mederos by decision.”
RA
RameiMMA picks Chris Padilla VALUE
“Chris Padilla by round two”
RameiMMA picks Chris Padilla VALUE
“Chris Padilla by round two”
GM
GLO MMA picks Chris Padilla VALUE
“Chris Padilla”
GLO MMA picks Chris Padilla VALUE
“Chris Padilla”
PM
Pak MMA picks Chris Padilla VALUE
“I'm going to be picking NOT_IN_ROSTER_9 Chris Padilla here”
Pak MMA picks Chris Padilla VALUE
“I'm going to be picking NOT_IN_ROSTER_9 Chris Padilla here”
IV
IVUFC picks Chris Padilla
“I'm taking Chris Padilla”
IVUFC picks Chris Padilla
“I'm taking Chris Padilla”
CO
CozyBoyzMMA picks Chris Padilla VALUE
“I think KO is the more likely outcome than the submission.”
CozyBoyzMMA picks Chris Padilla VALUE
“I think KO is the more likely outcome than the submission.”
KO
Kyle OHare picks Chris Padilla
“I'm going to go with Chris Padilla.”
Kyle OHare picks Chris Padilla
“I'm going to go with Chris Padilla.”
BM
Bozing MMA picks Chris Padilla
“I think Chris Padilla will take this one by decision Chris Padilla is better though, better wins.”
Bozing MMA picks Chris Padilla
“I think Chris Padilla will take this one by decision Chris Padilla is better though, better wins.”
TH
TheFinalRoundHQ picks Chris Padilla VALUE
TheFinalRoundHQ picks Chris Padilla VALUE
MJ
Mukbang with jj picks Chris Padilla VALUE
“Chris Padilla probably by decision”
Mukbang with jj picks Chris Padilla VALUE
“Chris Padilla probably by decision”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Mederos11-1-1
W
Choinski
Jun '25
W
Hubbard
Mar '25
Padilla0-0
W
Bonfim
Nov '25
W
Herbert
Mar '25
W
Zhu
Sep '24
W
Llontop
Apr '24