Choose a fight to analyse
JP
CU
Procházka vs UlbergFight Card · Light Heavyweight
CB
JH
Blaydes vs HokitFight Card · Heavyweight
DR
JW
Reyes vs WalkerFight Card · Light Heavyweight
AM
PC
Murzakanov vs CostaFight Card · Light Heavyweight
PP
AP
Pitbull vs PicoPreliminary Card · Featherweight
CS
NL
Swanson vs LandwehrFight Card · Featherweight
MG
ER
Gamrot vs RibovicsPreliminary Card · Lightweight
KH
RB
Holland vs BrownPreliminary Card · Welterweight
KG
VL
Gastelum vs LuqueEarly Preliminary Card · Middleweight
MM
CP
Mederos vs PadillaEarly Preliminary Card · Catchweight
CR
FP
Radtke vs PradoEarly Preliminary Card · Welterweight
TS
LG
Suarez vs GodínezPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
CU
Procházka vs UlbergFight Card · Light Heavyweight
CB
JH
Blaydes vs HokitFight Card · Heavyweight
DR
JW
Reyes vs WalkerFight Card · Light Heavyweight
AM
PC
Murzakanov vs CostaFight Card · Light Heavyweight
PP
AP
Pitbull vs PicoPreliminary Card · Featherweight
CS
NL
Swanson vs LandwehrFight Card · Featherweight
MG
ER
Gamrot vs RibovicsPreliminary Card · Lightweight
KH
RB
Holland vs BrownPreliminary Card · Welterweight
KG
VL
Gastelum vs LuqueEarly Preliminary Card · Middleweight
MM
CP
Mederos vs PadillaEarly Preliminary Card · Catchweight
CR
FP
Radtke vs PradoEarly Preliminary Card · Welterweight
TS
LG
Suarez vs GodínezPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Holland v Brown
Welterweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
Go Pro →
New here? Create a free account for the full leaderboard & bet tracker
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Holland 28-15
VS
20-7 Brown
6'3"
height
6'3"
170 lb
weight
171 lb
81"
reach
78"
33
age
35
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
4.2
strikes landed / min
4.4
49%
striking accuracy
47%
3.2
strikes absorbed / min
3.2
50%
striking defence
54%
0.8
takedowns / 15 min
0.7
38%
takedown accuracy
39%
54%
takedown defence
70%
0.6
submissions / 15 min
0.6
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
Go Pro →
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
IM
Industry Plant MMA picks Randy Brown VALUE
“Randy Brown is going to win this fight... I think Randy Brown's just going to win 2928”
AN
antsworldd picks Randy Brown VALUE
“I can see Kevin Holland easily submitting Randy Brown... I think he's going to get it done.”
AN
antsworldd picks Kevin Holland VALUE
“I think Kevin Holland's going to get it done.”
JI
JB and The Italian picks Randy Brown VALUE
“I'NOT_IN_ROSTER_127 picking Randy Brown.”
IT
itsLukas picks Kevin Holland VALUE
“I'm going to go with Kevin Holland by decision.”
IT
itsLukas picks Randy Brown VALUE
“I'm going to go with Randy Brown by decision.”
CA
CasualMMA picks Kevin Holland VALUE
“If it does end up going to the distance, I will be shocked ... I don't think Yuri has ever even seen the scorecards.”
LM
Loki MMA picks Randy Brown VALUE
“Kevin Holland versus Randy Brown... Randy Brown is a lanky, athletic fighter who has good striking and uses his size and his range well... I have Holland getting uh the decision win over Randy Brown.”
RA
RameiMMA picks Kevin Holland VALUE
“You're gonna get Kevin Holland”
GM
GLO MMA picks Kevin Holland VALUE
“Kevin Holland's not like that”
GM
GLO MMA picks Randy Brown VALUE
“Randy Brown just going to go Randy Brown to get this done”
CH
ChasingCombat picks Kevin Holland VALUE
“But with Randy Brown, he has good striking, solid takedown defense. I think it's a very good test for him. But he is coming off a controversial loss... But Randy Brown has the better striking here... But the pick will be Randy Brown. Randy Brown by decision just because he is striking I think will be a little bit too much for Kevin Kevin Holland”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Holland28-15
W
Brown
Apr '26
L
Malott
Oct '25
L
Rodriguez
Jul '25
W
Luque
Jun '25
W
Nelson
Mar '25
Brown20-7
L
Holland
Apr '26
L
Bonfim
Nov '25
W
Dalby
Apr '25
L
Battle
Dec '24
W
Santos
Jun '24