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UFC 327: Procházka vs. Ulberg
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Murzakanov v Costa Light Heavyweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus215 picks · conf 99/99
Murzakanov 152
63 Costa
TTTTSM pick Murzakanov
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Murzakanov 16-0 VS 0-0 Costa
5'10" height 6'1"
205 lb weight 185 lb
72" reach 72"
37 age 35
Southpaw stance Orthodox
4.7 strikes landed / min 6.2
56% striking accuracy 58%
2.9 strikes absorbed / min 6.6
61% striking defence 49%
0.6 takedowns / 15 min 0.4
15% takedown accuracy 75%
83% takedown defence 80%
0.0 submissions / 15 min 0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
IM Industry Plant MMA picks Paulo Costa VALUE “I think he's going to slam body kicks at Azamat... I think he's going to land big shots on MCOM and I think he's going to win”
CA CasualMMA picks Paulo Costa VALUE “Paulo Costa his best weapon is that body kick and he did beat Roman Cop Copilov which was somewhat impressive.”
LM Loki MMA picks Azamat Murzakanov VALUE “Azamat Murzakanov versus NOT_IN_ROSTER_7... I have Paulo either getting caught by Azamat Murzakanov or just losing a decision... So I have Azamat Murzakanov by knockout or damage based decision.”
GM GLO MMA picks Azamat Murzakanov VALUE “going to pick him”
GM GLO MMA picks Paulo Costa VALUE “going to pick him”
CH ChasingCombat picks Paulo Costa VALUE “But the obvious pick is Azmat, but we'll just get right into my pick. My pick is Paulo Costa by decision. And I think Paulo is going to be very tough for NOT_IN_ROSTER_8. He's going to try to put Paulo out of there. But here's the thing. Paulo is going to eat all his punches and eventually edge a decision win”
PM Pak MMA picks Paulo Costa VALUE “I really want to pick Paulo Costa”
TS The Sports Scientist picks Azamat Murzakanov “I think Blackjack is going to take upset a lot of people... The best bet here is that this fight goes into the second round... I'm going to go with the best bet here because this is not who's going to win this fight... The best bet here is that this fight reaches round two.”
TS The Sports Scientist picks Paulo Costa “I think Paulo Costa is going to come out victorious... I'm pretty adamant that Azamat Murzakanov is going to come out victorious, 17-0.”
CC Cage Clash picks Paulo Costa VALUE
TS The Open Mat Show picks Paulo Costa VALUE “I got faith in Paulo Costa, man.”
IV IVUFC picks Azamat Murzakanov VALUE “I'm going with Azamat Murzakanov.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Murzakanov16-0
L Costa KO/TKO · R3 Apr '26
W Rakić KO/TKO · R1 Oct '25
W Ribeiro KO/TKO · R1 Jun '25
W Menifield KO/TKO · R2 Aug '24
W Jacoby Decision · R3 Apr '23
Costa0-0
W Murzakanov KO/TKO · R3 Apr '26
W Kopylov Decision · R3 Jul '25
L Strickland Decision · R5 Jun '24
L Whittaker Decision · R3 Feb '24
W Rockhold Decision · R3 Aug '22