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UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira
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MB VO Bautista vs OliveiraMain Card · Bantamweight AA KH Albazi vs HoriguchiMain Card · Flyweight JA RK Almeida vs KunievMain Card · Heavyweight MO MB Oleksiejczuk vs BarriaultMain Card · Middleweight JM FB Matsumoto vs BasharatMain Card · Bantamweight DJ JW Jacoby vs WalkerMain Card · Light Heavyweight AM DD Morono vs DonchenkoPreliminary Card · Welterweight BB KS Brasil vs SouzaPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight WC EM Cong vs MouraPreliminary Card · Catchweight MG JW Gafurov vs WikłaczPreliminary Card · Catchweight KS PC Syguła vs CachoeiraPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight NV NP Veretennikov vs PricePreliminary Card · Welterweight JB GV Basharat vs VázquezPreliminary Card · Catchweight
BEST PRICE Prophecy read Brasil v Souza Women'S Strawweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus147 picks · conf 99/99
Brasil 81
66 Souza
UMAPTM pick Brasil
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Brasil 11-6-1 VS 16-6 Souza
5'6" height 5'3"
116 lb weight 115 lb
65" reach 63"
32 age 31
Orthodox stance Orthodox
2.9 strikes landed / min 5.1
61% striking accuracy 66%
3.5 strikes absorbed / min 3.5
50% striking defence 56%
1.9 takedowns / 15 min 0.8
72% takedown accuracy 50%
59% takedown defence 62%
0.0 submissions / 15 min 0.8
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
MC McManusMMA picks Bruna Brasil “I'm going with Bruna Brasil on this one.”
MM MmaTape picks Bruna Brasil VALUE
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Bruna Brasil “I'm taking Bruna Brasil just uh because I'm more fading Kat Soua.”
ES etoft21 sports picks Bruna Brasil VALUE “I'm going with Bruna Brasil here at plus 145.” $2.45
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Ketlen Souza “give me the the Ketlen Souza finish” $1.50
MM MMAPREDICTIONGURU picks Ketlen Souza “So, I like Ketlen Souza to defeat Bruno”
BM Bedtime MMA picks Ketlen Souza “I'm gonna pick Ketlen Souza to win this Ketlen Souza is gonna beat her up, dude. ... going to say Ketlen Souza wins by decision.”
MM Mayor MMA picks Bruna Brasil “Ketlen Souza also going to pick Bruna Brasil to win by decision.”
TP Touch 'Em Up Podcast picks Ketlen Souza “give me Ketlen Souza as a pick”
WP We Want Picks picks Bruna Brasil “I'm picking Bruna Brasil. Bruna Brasil is going to be the pick here.”
SS Spinnin Backfist MMA Show picks Bruna Brasil “You rather Bruna Brasil than” $2.30
RX RX picks Bruna Brasil “I'm going Bruna Brasil. I think Bruna Brasil's probably the better yeah, give me Bruna Brasil.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Brasil11-6-1
L Thainara Decision · R3 Mar '26
L Souza Decision · R3 Feb '26
L Cong Decision · R3 Feb '25
W McCann Decision · R3 Jul '24
L Lookboonmee Decision · R3 Feb '24
Souza16-6
W Carnelossi KO/TKO · R1 Jun '26
W Brasil Decision · R3 Feb '26
L Rodríguez Decision · R3 Aug '25
L Hill Decision · R3 Feb '25
W Jauregui Submission · R1 Sep '24