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UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Matsumoto v Basharat Bantamweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus166 picks · conf 99/99
Matsumoto 46
120 Basharat
PTCGBB pick Matsumoto
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Matsumoto 17-2 VS 14-0 Basharat
5'6" height 5'8"
135 lb weight 136 lb
69" reach 71"
26 age 28
Orthodox stance Orthodox
5.2 strikes landed / min 4.0
40% striking accuracy 45%
5.0 strikes absorbed / min 2.9
46% striking defence 64%
1.1 takedowns / 15 min 1.0
27% takedown accuracy 33%
57% takedown defence 58%
0.4 submissions / 15 min 0.3
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
IM Industry Plant MMA picks Jean Matsumoto VALUE “Jean Matsumoto will win the fight”
MC McManusMMA picks Farid Basharat “I think Bos's going to get this one done again, bro.”
MM MmaTape picks Jean Matsumoto VALUE
MM MmaTape picks Farid Basharat VALUE
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Jean Matsumoto “I'm gonna pick Gene Masamoto.”
BM Bozing MMA picks Farid Basharat “so yeah, decision for Farid Basharat.”
MM MMAInstigator picks Farid Basharat “I'm picking Farid Basharat”
DS Danny Segura picks Farid Basharat VALUE “we're going to pick here uh for Farid Basharat to beat Jean Matsumoto.” $1.36
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Farid Basharat “So liking Farid Basharat by decision”
UF UFCharlesDoBronx picks Farid Basharat “I like Farid Basharat in this fight.”
DG Diary of a Pro Gambler picks Jean Matsumoto VALUE “I see Jean Matsumoto doing well in decision”
JC Jaiden Cable picks Farid Basharat “I'm gonna go Farid Basharat.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Matsumoto17-2
W Almakhan Decision · R3 Jun '26
L Basharat Decision · R3 Feb '26
W Johns Decision · R3 Aug '25
L Font Decision · R3 Feb '25
W Katona Decision · R3 Oct '24
Basharat14-0
W Matsumoto Decision · R3 Feb '26
W Gutiérrez Decision · R3 Oct '25
W Hugo Decision · R3 Oct '24
W Lapilus Decision · R3 Jan '24
W Rodrigues Submission · R1 Sep '23