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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Morono v Donchenko Welterweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus153 picks · conf 99/99
Morono 26
127 Donchenko
ABMBPN pick Morono
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Morono 24-12 VS 14-2 Donchenko
5'11" height 5'11"
171 lb weight 170 lb
72" reach 71"
35 age 24
Orthodox stance Orthodox
5.0 strikes landed / min 5.2
40% striking accuracy 56%
4.6 strikes absorbed / min 4.1
57% striking defence 56%
0.3 takedowns / 15 min 1.6
25% takedown accuracy 66%
47% takedown defence 82%
0.3 submissions / 15 min 0.2
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
TE Teep_Muaythai picks Daniil Donchenko “Alex Morono is [ __ ] [ __ ] and Daniil Donchenko is going to finish him in round one. That's my pick.”
MC McManusMMA picks Daniil Donchenko “Daniel's getting this one done.”
MM MmaTape picks Alex Morono VALUE
MM MmaTape picks Daniil Donchenko VALUE
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Daniil Donchenko “Daniil Donchenko is my tapology pick.”
GM GLO MMA picks Daniil Donchenko “I'm going to pick NOT_IN_ROSTER_29 Daniil Donchenko.”
BM Bozing MMA picks Daniil Donchenko “First round TKO for Daniil Donchenko.”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Daniil Donchenko “So I like Daniil Donchenko here and I like Daniil Donchenko to win this going to take Daniil Donchenko wins by KO in” $1.14
UF UFCharlesDoBronx picks Daniil Donchenko “it's going to be Daniil Donchenko to win this”
JC Jaiden Cable picks Alex Morono “I'm go with Alex Morono.”
MM MMAPREDICTIONGURU picks Daniil Donchenko “going to go with Daniil Donchenko confident pick is Daniil Donchenko.”
BM Bedtime MMA picks Alex Morono “Daniil Donchenko loses this fight. I think he's going to win by KO.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Morono24-12
L Donchenko Decision · R3 Feb '26
L Leal KO/TKO · R1 Mar '25
L Rodriguez Decision · R3 Oct '24
L Price Decision · R3 Jun '24
W McGee Decision · R3 Apr '24
Donchenko14-2
W Berggren KO/TKO · R2 Jun '26
W Morono Decision · R3 Feb '26
W Sezinando KO/TKO · R1 Sep '25