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Price vs SmithPreliminary Card · Welterweight
CO
Topuria vs OliveiraMain Card · Lightweight
AP
KK
Pantoja vs Kara-FranceMain Card · Flyweight
BD
RM
Dariush vs MoicanoMain Card · Lightweight
JH
GR
Hermansson vs RodriguesPreliminary Card · Middleweight
VA
TC
Araújo vs CortezPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
BR
JV
Royval vs VanMain Card · Flyweight
PT
FL
Talbott vs LimaMain Card · Bantamweight
HA
JD
Amil vs DelgadoPreliminary Card · Featherweight
TM
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McKinney vs BorshchevPreliminary Card · Lightweight
JD
AH
Diniz vs HinesPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
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Price vs SmithPreliminary Card · Welterweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Price v Smith
Welterweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Price 16-10
VS
11-0 Smith
6'0"
height
6'2"
171 lb
weight
170 lb
76"
reach
72"
36
age
30
Orthodox
stance
Southpaw
5.2
strikes landed / min
7.0
42%
striking accuracy
76%
5.6
strikes absorbed / min
1.4
48%
striking defence
54%
1.0
takedowns / 15 min
13.3
29%
takedown accuracy
87%
52%
takedown defence
0%
0.7
submissions / 15 min
0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
MR
Milo Reyes picks Niko Price VALUE
“I'm picking Jacobe to be Neo Price”
Milo Reyes picks Niko Price VALUE
“I'm picking Jacobe to be Neo Price”
RU
RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Niko Price VALUE
“Jacobe Smith at on DraftKings taking on Niko Price at 25500 for Jacobe Smith”
$256.00
RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Niko Price VALUE
“Jacobe Smith at on DraftKings taking on Niko Price at 25500 for Jacobe Smith”
$256.00
BS
B ALL N Sports picks Jacobe Smith VALUE
“I say he gets it done by second round knockout.”
B ALL N Sports picks Jacobe Smith VALUE
“I say he gets it done by second round knockout.”
ES
etoft21 sports picks Jacobe Smith VALUE
“Jacobe Smith to get a knockout”
etoft21 sports picks Jacobe Smith VALUE
“Jacobe Smith to get a knockout”
TA
TakeDownTalks picks Niko Price VALUE
“Give me Philip Niko Price by decision or submission.”
TakeDownTalks picks Niko Price VALUE
“Give me Philip Niko Price by decision or submission.”
TA
TakeDownTalks picks Jacobe Smith VALUE
“I will keep this short and sweet, guys. Jacobe Smith is minus - 2,500. He's the better wrestler, better athlete. He has more power on the feet. He should get Niko Price out of there inside two rounds. Give me Jacobe Smith. by knockout.”
TakeDownTalks picks Jacobe Smith VALUE
“I will keep this short and sweet, guys. Jacobe Smith is minus - 2,500. He's the better wrestler, better athlete. He has more power on the feet. He should get Niko Price out of there inside two rounds. Give me Jacobe Smith. by knockout.”
SO
Stout & Out picks Jacobe Smith
“Jacobe Smith is definitely Jacobe Smith.”
Stout & Out picks Jacobe Smith
“Jacobe Smith is definitely Jacobe Smith.”
TS
The Mike Finch Show picks Jacobe Smith VALUE
“Jacobe Smith over Nico Price.”
The Mike Finch Show picks Jacobe Smith VALUE
“Jacobe Smith over Nico Price.”
TT
The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Niko Price
“This is a horrible match up for Niko Price.”
$26.00
The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Niko Price
“This is a horrible match up for Niko Price.”
$26.00
⚔P
⚔️Soups MMA Preview⚔️ picks Jacobe Smith VALUE
“He's going to take out Niko Price via first round TKO”
⚔️Soups MMA Preview⚔️ picks Jacobe Smith VALUE
“He's going to take out Niko Price via first round TKO”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Price16-10
L
Chiesa
Mar '26
L
Veretennikov
Feb '26
L
Smith
Jun '25
L
Gorimbo
Oct '24
W
Morono
Jun '24
Smith11-0
W
Harrell
Feb '26
W
Price
Jun '25
W
Parsons
Jan '25