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UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Hermansson v Rodrigues Middleweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus98 picks · conf 84/99
Hermansson 41
57 Rodrigues
MTPBDT pick Hermansson
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Hermansson 24-9 VS 18-6 Rodrigues
6'1" height 6'3"
185 lb weight 186 lb
78" reach 75"
38 age 34
Orthodox stance Orthodox
5.1 strikes landed / min 5.5
44% striking accuracy 56%
3.7 strikes absorbed / min 4.7
56% striking defence 51%
1.5 takedowns / 15 min 2.7
30% takedown accuracy 41%
80% takedown defence 100%
0.4 submissions / 15 min 0.4
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
CC Combat Sports Central picks Jack Hermansson VALUE “I'm going to lock in Jack Hermansson in this fight.” $2.90
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Jack Hermansson “I got Jack Hermansson by KO, baby.”
RU RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Jack Hermansson VALUE “I'm going to have to take Her Jack Hermansson”
TA TakeDownTalks picks Jack Hermansson VALUE “Give me Jack Hermansson by decision.”
TS The Mike Finch Show picks Gregory Rodrigues VALUE “I'm going with Gregory Rodrigues.”
RX RX picks Gregory Rodrigues “Give me Gregory Rodrigues by decision.”
RX RX picks Jack Hermansson “Give me Jack Hermanssonson Jack Hermanssonson McVey by decision.”
TT The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Jack Hermansson “Jack has the reach advantage, but Jack does not have the power to scare Robocop off.” $2.60
MM MMAPREDICTIONGURU picks Gregory Rodrigues VALUE “So, Gregory Rodrigues, I think, is one of the safer picks on the card”
FI FightDudes picks Gregory Rodrigues VALUE “Gregory Rodriguez, another bounceback fight candidate against Jack Hermansson.”
WT WagerTalk TV: Sports Picks and Betting Tips picks Jack Hermansson VALUE “I do like uh you know the plus money here at plus 180, but I also do like um uh the point spread bet here at plus three and a half at plus 100.” $2.80
AH Aaron Haden picks Gregory Rodrigues “I'm gonna go with Niko Price, Denise McVey, Terrance McKinney, uh, Viviane Araújo, Jose Miguel Delgado, Gregory Rodrigues, aka Gregory Rodrigues, Payton Talbott Renato Moicano Joshua Van”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Hermansson24-9
L Orolbai KO/TKO · R1 Nov '25
L Rodrigues KO/TKO · R1 Jun '25
W Pyfer Decision · R5 Feb '24
L Dolidze KO/TKO · R2 Dec '22
W Curtis Decision · R3 Jul '22
Rodrigues18-6
W Ferreira KO/TKO · R1 Mar '26
W Kopylov Decision · R3 Nov '25
W Hermansson KO/TKO · R1 Jun '25
L Cannonier KO/TKO · R4 Feb '25
W Duncan Decision · R3 Jul '24