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Topuria vs OliveiraMain Card · Lightweight
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Pantoja vs Kara-FranceMain Card · Flyweight
BD
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Hermansson vs RodriguesPreliminary Card · Middleweight
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Araújo vs CortezPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
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Royval vs VanMain Card · Flyweight
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Price vs SmithPreliminary Card · Welterweight
CO
Topuria vs OliveiraMain Card · Lightweight
AP
KK
Pantoja vs Kara-FranceMain Card · Flyweight
BD
RM
Dariush vs MoicanoMain Card · Lightweight
JH
GR
Hermansson vs RodriguesPreliminary Card · Middleweight
VA
TC
Araújo vs CortezPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
BR
JV
Royval vs VanMain Card · Flyweight
PT
FL
Talbott vs LimaMain Card · Bantamweight
HA
JD
Amil vs DelgadoPreliminary Card · Featherweight
TM
VB
McKinney vs BorshchevPreliminary Card · Lightweight
JD
AH
Diniz vs HinesPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
NP
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Price vs SmithPreliminary Card · Welterweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Pantoja v Kara-France
Flyweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Pantoja 28-5
VS
25-11 Kara-France
5'5"
height
5'4"
125 lb
weight
125 lb
67"
reach
69"
36
age
33
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
4.4
strikes landed / min
4.6
49%
striking accuracy
39%
4.0
strikes absorbed / min
3.2
50%
striking defence
65%
2.6
takedowns / 15 min
0.6
47%
takedown accuracy
33%
68%
takedown defence
88%
0.8
submissions / 15 min
0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
SS
SledgeHammer Sports picks Alexandre Pantoja VALUE
“by decision all five rounds will be fought”
SledgeHammer Sports picks Alexandre Pantoja VALUE
“by decision all five rounds will be fought”
RU
RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Kai Kara-France VALUE
“Kai Kara-France to uh retain the maybe I had Pantosia”
RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Kai Kara-France VALUE
“Kai Kara-France to uh retain the maybe I had Pantosia”
BT
BetMGM Tonight picks Alexandre Pantoja VALUE
“I know I'm taking heavy on chalk but this one's a little harder to call... I feel like Alexandre Pantoja might end up being a bit too much.”
$1.50
BetMGM Tonight picks Alexandre Pantoja VALUE
“I know I'm taking heavy on chalk but this one's a little harder to call... I feel like Alexandre Pantoja might end up being a bit too much.”
$1.50
TA
TakeDownTalks picks Alexandre Pantoja VALUE
“Give me Alexandre Pentoia by submission or decision.”
TakeDownTalks picks Alexandre Pantoja VALUE
“Give me Alexandre Pentoia by submission or decision.”
DG
Diary of a Pro Gambler picks Alexandre Pantoja
“Panto is a pretty big favorite.”
Diary of a Pro Gambler picks Alexandre Pantoja
“Panto is a pretty big favorite.”
TS
The Mike Finch Show picks Kai Kara-France VALUE
“I'm going Kai France. ... I got the dog Kai Kara-France taking the [__] title.”
The Mike Finch Show picks Kai Kara-France VALUE
“I'm going Kai France. ... I got the dog Kai Kara-France taking the [__] title.”
TS
The Open Mat Show picks Kai Kara-France VALUE
“I know he's Kai Kara-France finishes or wins the belt the only guy up next would be Joshua Van, assuming Joshua Van wins this fight.”
The Open Mat Show picks Kai Kara-France VALUE
“I know he's Kai Kara-France finishes or wins the belt the only guy up next would be Joshua Van, assuming Joshua Van wins this fight.”
BE
BetSam picks Kai Kara-France VALUE
“I think that Kai Kara France can go out here cause havoc and defeat Alexandre Pantoja”
BetSam picks Kai Kara-France VALUE
“I think that Kai Kara France can go out here cause havoc and defeat Alexandre Pantoja”
TT
The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Alexandre Pantoja VALUE
“Yeah, I would actually have no problem structuring it similarly... I think Alexandre Pantoja can do that and the wrestling pressure will just be too much.”
$1.43
The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Alexandre Pantoja VALUE
“Yeah, I would actually have no problem structuring it similarly... I think Alexandre Pantoja can do that and the wrestling pressure will just be too much.”
$1.43
TT
The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Kai Kara-France
“I made his money line about plus 170. Would play that small to plus 185.”
$3.15
The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Kai Kara-France
“I made his money line about plus 170. Would play that small to plus 185.”
$3.15
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Pantoja28-5
L
Van
Dec '25
W
Kara-France
Jun '25
W
Asakura
Dec '24
W
Erceg
May '24
W
Royval
Dec '23
Kara-France25-11
L
Pantoja
Jun '25
W
Erceg
Aug '24
L
Albazi
Jun '23
L
Moreno
Jul '22
W
Askarov
Mar '22