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Weili vs EsparzaMain Card · Women'S Strawweight
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Poirier vs ChandlerMain Card · Lightweight
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Gutiérrez vs EdgarMain Card · Bantamweight
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Hooker vs PuellesMain Card · Lightweight
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Moicano vs RiddellPreliminary Card · Lightweight
RS
DR
Spann vs ReyesPreliminary Card · Catchweight
EB
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Blanchfield vs McCannPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
AP
WT
Petroski vs TurmanPreliminary Card · Middleweight
MF
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Frevola vs AzaitarEarly Preliminary Card · Lightweight
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Kowalkiewicz vs JuárezEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
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Trizano vs ChoiEarly Preliminary Card · Catchweight
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Jackson vs ArceEarly Preliminary Card · Bantamweight
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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Hooker v Puelles
Lightweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Hooker 24-13
VS
13-5 Puelles
6'0"
height
5'10"
155 lb
weight
156 lb
75"
reach
72"
36
age
30
Switch
stance
Southpaw
5.0
strikes landed / min
3.2
48%
striking accuracy
57%
4.7
strikes absorbed / min
3.3
51%
striking defence
53%
0.7
takedowns / 15 min
0.8
34%
takedown accuracy
38%
78%
takedown defence
89%
0.3
submissions / 15 min
1.4
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
UP
UFC FIGHT PASS picks Dan Hooker VALUE
“The Comeback on the underdog Michael Chandler plus underdog to Gutierrez and Dan Hooker he Dan Hooker at minus 150 The Comeback on the way we got a Frankie Edgar and ganu uh Michael Chandler where we saw Michael Chandler pull off tomorrow uh Israel Adesanya anasania taking on Alex Pereira it is your main event at pick either way uh I think Israel Adesanya is this and this is why I think Israel Adesanya Israel Adesanya is the favorite this isn't a Alex Pereira pajera is a very dangerous fighter anybody and he has stopped Israel Adesanya Alison bit of a knock against uh Israel Adesanya for uh to stop Alex Pereira paida if it happens great fight where Michael Chandler uh kicks Israel Adesanya anasania taking on Alex Pereira it going down in Madison Square Garden Israel Adesanya versus Tejeda Carla Esparza versus Zhang Weili Dustin Poirier taking on Michael matter what heavyweight champion himself Frankie Edgar and”
$1.67
UFC FIGHT PASS picks Dan Hooker VALUE
“The Comeback on the underdog Michael Chandler plus underdog to Gutierrez and Dan Hooker he Dan Hooker at minus 150 The Comeback on the way we got a Frankie Edgar and ganu uh Michael Chandler where we saw Michael Chandler pull off tomorrow uh Israel Adesanya anasania taking on Alex Pereira it is your main event at pick either way uh I think Israel Adesanya is this and this is why I think Israel Adesanya Israel Adesanya is the favorite this isn't a Alex Pereira pajera is a very dangerous fighter anybody and he has stopped Israel Adesanya Alison bit of a knock against uh Israel Adesanya for uh to stop Alex Pereira paida if it happens great fight where Michael Chandler uh kicks Israel Adesanya anasania taking on Alex Pereira it going down in Madison Square Garden Israel Adesanya versus Tejeda Carla Esparza versus Zhang Weili Dustin Poirier taking on Michael matter what heavyweight champion himself Frankie Edgar and”
$1.67
TM
The MMA-Holes picks Dan Hooker
“I mean honestly Dan Hooker should win on Dan Hooker I mean honestly Dan Hooker should win on Dan Hooker I mean honestly Dan Hooker should win”
The MMA-Holes picks Dan Hooker
“I mean honestly Dan Hooker should win on Dan Hooker I mean honestly Dan Hooker should win on Dan Hooker I mean honestly Dan Hooker should win”
DS
Dynes Sports picks Dan Hooker VALUE
Dynes Sports picks Dan Hooker VALUE
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Dan Hooker
“I'm going Dan Hooker I'm there with you and I I do understand though hesitancy of the betting side I am even thinking the same because it's like oh Dan Hooker he's coming off losses we gotta see what he can do out in this match if I think he shines here”
$1.69
MMA EXPERTS picks Dan Hooker
“I'm going Dan Hooker I'm there with you and I I do understand though hesitancy of the betting side I am even thinking the same because it's like oh Dan Hooker he's coming off losses we gotta see what he can do out in this match if I think he shines here”
$1.69
SH
Sherdog.com picks Claudio Puelles
“this is guaranteed Striker match I think so you've back who came out last time and looked so good”
Sherdog.com picks Claudio Puelles
“this is guaranteed Striker match I think so you've back who came out last time and looked so good”
WP
We Want Picks picks Dan Hooker
“I think Dan hooker is absolutely going to get this win”
We Want Picks picks Dan Hooker
“I think Dan hooker is absolutely going to get this win”
WP
We Want Picks picks Dan Hooker VALUE
“he's fighting Dan Hooker who has very good takedown defense so I do not see Claudio poilis getting two takedowns”
We Want Picks picks Dan Hooker VALUE
“he's fighting Dan Hooker who has very good takedown defense so I do not see Claudio poilis getting two takedowns”
TT
TFB's Talks picks Dan Hooker VALUE
“I'm gonna go NOT_IN_ROSTER_6 Dan Hooker by puts up guys like Claudio Puelles that we don't Dan Hooker to bring his name up but I'ma still go imma still go NOT_IN_ROSTER_6 Dan Hooker”
TFB's Talks picks Dan Hooker VALUE
“I'm gonna go NOT_IN_ROSTER_6 Dan Hooker by puts up guys like Claudio Puelles that we don't Dan Hooker to bring his name up but I'ma still go imma still go NOT_IN_ROSTER_6 Dan Hooker”
PP
Pick Pocket Podcast picks Dan Hooker
“Dan Hooker versus Claudio Puelles ... I'm gonna go Dan Hooker here ... give me Dan Hooker uh decision fight”
Pick Pocket Podcast picks Dan Hooker
“Dan Hooker versus Claudio Puelles ... I'm gonna go Dan Hooker here ... give me Dan Hooker uh decision fight”
1C
101MMA Clinic picks Claudio Puelles VALUE
“I'm going with Claudio Puelles yeah I I agree with you I also choose the the same uh the same in this one”
101MMA Clinic picks Claudio Puelles VALUE
“I'm going with Claudio Puelles yeah I I agree with you I also choose the the same uh the same in this one”
1C
101MMA Clinic picks Claudio Puelles VALUE
“we had both on Claudio Puelles against the veteran Ben hooker”
101MMA Clinic picks Claudio Puelles VALUE
“we had both on Claudio Puelles against the veteran Ben hooker”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Hooker24-13
L
Denis
Feb '26
L
Tsarukyan
Nov '25
W
Gamrot
Aug '24
W
Turner
Jul '23
W
Puelles
Nov '22
Puelles13-5
L
Silva
Sep '25
L
Ziam
Feb '24
L
Hooker
Nov '22
W
Guida
Apr '22
W
Gruetzemacher
Dec '21