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Pereira vs AdesanyaMain Card · Middleweight
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IA
Pereira vs AdesanyaMain Card · Middleweight
ZW
CE
Weili vs EsparzaMain Card · Women'S Strawweight
DP
MC
Poirier vs ChandlerMain Card · Lightweight
CG
FE
Gutiérrez vs EdgarMain Card · Bantamweight
DH
CP
Hooker vs PuellesMain Card · Lightweight
RM
BR
Moicano vs RiddellPreliminary Card · Lightweight
RS
DR
Spann vs ReyesPreliminary Card · Catchweight
EB
MM
Blanchfield vs McCannPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
AP
WT
Petroski vs TurmanPreliminary Card · Middleweight
MF
OA
Frevola vs AzaitarEarly Preliminary Card · Lightweight
KK
SJ
Kowalkiewicz vs JuárezEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
MT
SC
Trizano vs ChoiEarly Preliminary Card · Catchweight
MJ
JA
Jackson vs ArceEarly Preliminary Card · Bantamweight
CU
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Ulberg vs NegumereanuEarly Preliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Pereira v Adesanya
Middleweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Pereira 13-3
VS
24-5 Adesanya
6'4"
height
6'4"
251 lb
weight
185 lb
79"
reach
80"
38
age
36
Orthodox
stance
Switch
5.5
strikes landed / min
4.0
54%
striking accuracy
50%
3.8
strikes absorbed / min
3.4
61%
striking defence
57%
0.1
takedowns / 15 min
0.3
0%
takedown accuracy
33%
92%
takedown defence
81%
0.0
submissions / 15 min
0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
TA
THE FIGHT with Teddy Atlas picks Israel Adesanya
“I think Israel Adesanya hit it on the green I I think Israel Adesanya has that ability to put that aside and so that is one place where I think Israel Adesanya will take it he's got great”
THE FIGHT with Teddy Atlas picks Israel Adesanya
“I think Israel Adesanya hit it on the green I I think Israel Adesanya has that ability to put that aside and so that is one place where I think Israel Adesanya will take it he's got great”
UP
UFC FIGHT PASS picks Israel Adesanya VALUE
“I think Israel Adesanya is this and this is why I think Israel Adesanya Israel Adesanya is the favorite this isn't a Alex Pereira pajera is a very dangerous fighter anybody and he has stopped Israel Adesanya Alison bit of a knock against uh Israel Adesanya for uh to stop Alex Pereira paida if it happens great fight where Michael Chandler uh kicks Israel Adesanya anasania taking on Alex Pereira it going down in Madison Square Garden Israel Adesanya versus Tejeda Carla Esparza versus Zhang Weili Dustin Poirier taking on Michael matter what heavyweight champion himself Frankie Edgar and”
$1.56
UFC FIGHT PASS picks Israel Adesanya VALUE
“I think Israel Adesanya is this and this is why I think Israel Adesanya Israel Adesanya is the favorite this isn't a Alex Pereira pajera is a very dangerous fighter anybody and he has stopped Israel Adesanya Alison bit of a knock against uh Israel Adesanya for uh to stop Alex Pereira paida if it happens great fight where Michael Chandler uh kicks Israel Adesanya anasania taking on Alex Pereira it going down in Madison Square Garden Israel Adesanya versus Tejeda Carla Esparza versus Zhang Weili Dustin Poirier taking on Michael matter what heavyweight champion himself Frankie Edgar and”
$1.56
TM
The MMA-Holes picks Alex Pereira VALUE
“now I picked Alex Pereira and I'm still picking Alex Pereira I have him in my uh bet in my bookie.ag... I got him in a plus 166 so Alex Pereira even more of an plus 166 so Alex Pereira even more of an underdog damn I should have waited so Alex Pereira again a little more plus money... I like my Alex Pereira pick for an underdog... I made the the bet on Alex Pereira... put a bet on Alex Pereira Main Event 100 bucks on prey let's see if we get the dub for that... I see Knockout by Alex Pereira the underdog we have a hundred buck bet on him as well I'm gonna go knock out just like in his last fight with Israel Adesanya... Alex Pereira knockout round number four that's what I'm going to say”
$2.66
The MMA-Holes picks Alex Pereira VALUE
“now I picked Alex Pereira and I'm still picking Alex Pereira I have him in my uh bet in my bookie.ag... I got him in a plus 166 so Alex Pereira even more of an plus 166 so Alex Pereira even more of an underdog damn I should have waited so Alex Pereira again a little more plus money... I like my Alex Pereira pick for an underdog... I made the the bet on Alex Pereira... put a bet on Alex Pereira Main Event 100 bucks on prey let's see if we get the dub for that... I see Knockout by Alex Pereira the underdog we have a hundred buck bet on him as well I'm gonna go knock out just like in his last fight with Israel Adesanya... Alex Pereira knockout round number four that's what I'm going to say”
$2.66
ET
Extra Thiccc picks Israel Adesanya
“so I'm picking Israel Adesanya in this one”
Extra Thiccc picks Israel Adesanya
“so I'm picking Israel Adesanya in this one”
ET
Extra Thiccc picks Alex Pereira
“Alex Pereira Pereira I think he's gonna run away and the entire time and win”
Extra Thiccc picks Alex Pereira
“Alex Pereira Pereira I think he's gonna run away and the entire time and win”
OM
One On One | MMA picks Alex Pereira
“I think Alex Pereira is gonna he's and pick him apart”
One On One | MMA picks Alex Pereira
“I think Alex Pereira is gonna he's and pick him apart”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Alex Pereira VALUE
“the boogeyman Alex Pereira [ __ ] arasanya who's on his way to middleweight goat status this is the scariest fight for him period”
MMA EXPERTS picks Alex Pereira VALUE
“the boogeyman Alex Pereira [ __ ] arasanya who's on his way to middleweight goat status this is the scariest fight for him period”
WP
We Want Picks picks Israel Adesanya
“I gotta go Israel Adesanya here”
We Want Picks picks Israel Adesanya
“I gotta go Israel Adesanya here”
TT
TFB's Talks picks Israel Adesanya VALUE
“I think Israel Adesanya is a better mixed martial artist I think Israel Adesanya has more experience I think Israel Adesanya is younger I think Israel Adesanya is scared I will say this I think Israel Adesanya is scared just as we are when we look at Alex Pereira”
TFB's Talks picks Israel Adesanya VALUE
“I think Israel Adesanya is a better mixed martial artist I think Israel Adesanya has more experience I think Israel Adesanya is younger I think Israel Adesanya is scared I will say this I think Israel Adesanya is scared just as we are when we look at Alex Pereira”
PP
Pick Pocket Podcast picks Israel Adesanya VALUE
“I'm gonna go Israel Adesanya”
Pick Pocket Podcast picks Israel Adesanya VALUE
“I'm gonna go Israel Adesanya”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Pereira13-3
L
Gane
Jun '26
W
Ankalaev
Oct '25
L
Ankalaev
Mar '25
W
Rountree Jr.
Oct '24
W
Procházka
Jun '24
Adesanya24-5
L
Pyfer
Mar '26
L
Imavov
Feb '25
L
Plessis
Aug '24
L
Strickland
Sep '23
W
Pereira
Apr '23