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UFC on ESPN: Luque vs. dos Anjos
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Blackshear v Johnson Bantamweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus28 picks · conf 52/99
Blackshear 22
6 Johnson
HPFJT1 pick Blackshear
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Blackshear 15-7-1 VS 16-9 Johnson
5'10" height 6'0"
136 lb weight 125 lb
72" reach 72"
31 age 31
Switch stance Orthodox
4.3 strikes landed / min 2.2
47% striking accuracy 57%
4.1 strikes absorbed / min 1.6
49% striking defence 52%
2.2 takedowns / 15 min 0.7
37% takedown accuracy 60%
68% takedown defence 38%
1.4 submissions / 15 min 0.7
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
UC UFC - CELEBRITIES AND CLASSICS picks Da'Mon Blackshear “Da'Mon Da'Mon Blackshear versus Jose Johnson uh over 1.5 or diamonds”
TP The City Life Project picks Da'Mon Blackshear “I think Damon Blackshear will take this one”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Da'Mon Blackshear “I'm picking black sheer” $1.41
TH TheGreyFaction picks Da'Mon Blackshear “I'm gonna pick Diamond black to get the win even though I say a lot that um newcomers in the UFC should get the win to maximize the debut but for this one I feel like diamond black she is gonna win towards continuous win streak”
ZP Zlatan's Fight Picks picks Jose Johnson VALUE “I'm gonna pick the underdog in this one again uh given given a choice and just because demon black she was getting ready for a wrestler and now he's got a pretty long lanky Striker... Jose Johnson Jose Johnson Johnson is going to be the pick” $3.35
WP We Want Picks picks Da'Mon Blackshear “I jumped on it I absolutely jumped I'm like minus 350 he's gonna smoke this guy Jose Johnson showing up on short notice he can't defend the takedown Da'Mon Blackshear can get takedowns minus 352 units were good” $1.29
WP We Want Picks picks Da'Mon Blackshear VALUE “Da'Mon Da'Mon Blackshear should be the better wrestler versus a guy that has no takedown defense striking wise he could absolutely hang if not be the better Striker Jose Johnson Jose Johnson Johnson stepping up on short notice he's already big he's gonna have weight issues like I just don't see how demand loses this fight minus 350 I thought was a good value” $1.29
JO JohnnyKpicks picks Da'Mon Blackshear VALUE “I like black sheer a lot I put him in a parlay I got it at like minus 225 I just looked before the stream and it's like all the way up to minus 290 right now so it's steamed all the way up” $1.44
AD Addicted2Combat picks Da'Mon Blackshear “most confident fighter is Josh Fremd Marcus McGee Martin Buday Khalil Rountree Jr. Terrance McKinney Da'Mon Blackshear Hakeem dawadu Jaqueline Amorim Iasmin Lucindo Rafael dos Anjos Luana Santos A.J. Dobson and least confident pick is Isaac delgarian”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Da'Mon Blackshear “I'm gonna pick black sheer by a decision in this fight here” $1.37
SM SPOOGE MMA picks Da'Mon Blackshear “I think Da'Mon Blackshear is going to just beat him by decision”
PR Premium-Picks picks Jose Johnson “I would pick black sheer to out muscle him”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Blackshear15-7-1
L Grant Decision · R3 Jul '25
W Heili Decision · R3 Apr '25
W Gibson Submission · R2 Mar '25
W Stamann Submission · R1 Nov '24
L Jackson KO/TKO · R1 Jul '24
Johnson16-9
L Bunes Submission · R1 Jan '25
L Almabayev Decision · R3 Jun '24
W Anheliger Submission · R3 Nov '23
L Blackshear Submission · R1 Aug '23