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UFC on ESPN: Luque vs. dos Anjos
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read McKinney v Breeden Lightweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus35 picks · conf 58/99
McKinney 30
5 Breeden
IPMDP pick McKinney
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
McKinney 17-8 VS 11-6 Breeden
5'10" height 5'10"
156 lb weight 159 lb
74" reach 70"
31 age 37
Switch stance Orthodox
4.5 strikes landed / min 5.8
50% striking accuracy 45%
2.6 strikes absorbed / min 7.3
45% striking defence 42%
3.5 takedowns / 15 min 1.0
36% takedown accuracy 30%
85% takedown defence 67%
1.0 submissions / 15 min 0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
UC UFC - CELEBRITIES AND CLASSICS picks Terrance McKinney “Terrance McKinney versus Mike Breeden Breeden no distance or Terrance McKinney ETD Terrance McKinney karaoke would be another follow mine”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Terrance McKinney VALUE “I'm picking Terence Terrance McKinney to win this fight over Mike breeding here” $1.39
TH TheGreyFaction picks Mike Breeden “I would say that since my breeding Mike Breeden Mike Breeden sorry as Faith to get a win in the UFC yet entrance mechanese has more experience in the UFC and Terence bikini is going to bounce back get back in the wind column and pick up the win by decision simply as that”
ZP Zlatan's Fight Picks picks Terrance McKinney “I'm gonna go with Terence Terrance McKinney... Terrance McKinney's going to be the pick” $1.37
TB Totally Blitzed picks Terrance McKinney VALUE “let's start off with Terrance McKinney there's no odds for the fight we're taking on Mike Breeden I don't know read much about him whether he's ten and five at the lightweight division I'm hoping for the sake of Terrance McKinney since he is still an exciting fighter and through and through is that like they're giving him a can and we get to see Terrance McKinney get a quick sub a quick knock down you know shows just something to get him right again that's what I'm hoping”
MM MMAFightingonSBN picks Terrance McKinney “Terrance McKinney is fun to watch because he's gonna get one in seven minutes or less”
WP We Want Picks picks Terrance McKinney “I do think that Terrance McKinney probably wins this fight especially if he comes out with that wrestle heavy game plan”
AD Addicted2Combat picks Terrance McKinney “most confident fighter is Josh Fremd Marcus McGee Martin Buday Khalil Rountree Jr. Terrance McKinney Da'Mon Blackshear Hakeem dawadu Jaqueline Amorim Iasmin Lucindo Rafael dos Anjos Luana Santos A.J. Dobson and least confident pick is Isaac delgarian”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Terrance McKinney VALUE “I'm picking Terrance McKinney knockout but I guess we have to bring up the weight cut dropping down to 55” $1.39
BE BetVets picks Terrance McKinney VALUE “I think Terrance McKinney should win this fight no doubt about it” $1.36
DS DFS Army - Daily Fantasy Sports picks Terrance McKinney VALUE “I'm All About McKinney I think he wins here” $1.36
“S “And NEW” MMA Show picks Terrance McKinney VALUE “it's a good opportunity for Terence McKinney to get back in the win column”
Recent form last five, most recent first
McKinney17-8
W Nelson KO/TKO · R1 Mar '26
L Duncan Submission · R1 Dec '25
W Borshchev Submission · R1 Jun '25
W Hadžović KO/TKO · R1 Feb '25
L Ribovics KO/TKO · R1 May '24
Breeden11-6
W Jubli KO/TKO · R3 Oct '23
L McKinney KO/TKO · R1 Aug '23
L Levy Decision · R3 Apr '22
L Hernandez KO/TKO · R1 Oct '21