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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Tafa v Lane
Heavyweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Tafa 7-5
VS
13-7 Lane
6'0"
height
6'6"
266 lb
weight
205 lb
74"
reach
80"
32
age
38
Southpaw
stance
Orthodox
5.4
strikes landed / min
2.5
59%
striking accuracy
50%
2.3
strikes absorbed / min
2.4
55%
striking defence
40%
1.9
takedowns / 15 min
2.0
43%
takedown accuracy
30%
52%
takedown defence
0%
1.9
submissions / 15 min
0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
MJ
MMA JOEY picks Austen Lane
“I got Austen Lane wrong”
MMA JOEY picks Austen Lane
“I got Austen Lane wrong”
LM
Leftlane MMA picks Justin Tafa
“Austen Austen Lane does not know how to use his six inch wrench advantage... so he got Jim pretty much immediately... got ko'd brutally by Justin Tafa Tafa”
Leftlane MMA picks Justin Tafa
“Austen Austen Lane does not know how to use his six inch wrench advantage... so he got Jim pretty much immediately... got ko'd brutally by Justin Tafa Tafa”
LM
Leftlane MMA picks Austen Lane
“I picked Austen Austen Lane as an underdog I thought I was being clever”
Leftlane MMA picks Austen Lane
“I picked Austen Austen Lane as an underdog I thought I was being clever”
MP
Mike's MMA Picks picks Austen Lane VALUE
“I'll be picking taffa”
Mike's MMA Picks picks Austen Lane VALUE
“I'll be picking taffa”
TS
The Fight Week Show picks Justin Tafa
“I'm gonna go tafa picked up at the last time I thought I looked good in the fight”
The Fight Week Show picks Justin Tafa
“I'm gonna go tafa picked up at the last time I thought I looked good in the fight”
TS
The Fight Week Show picks Austen Lane VALUE
“this is my last Underdog um Austen Lane I think I picked half a last time”
The Fight Week Show picks Austen Lane VALUE
“this is my last Underdog um Austen Lane I think I picked half a last time”
FM
Foley Brothers Combat Sports Media picks Justin Tafa VALUE
“I'm going to stick with Justin Tafa after Junior tawfa ... and secure a big knockout win”
Foley Brothers Combat Sports Media picks Justin Tafa VALUE
“I'm going to stick with Justin Tafa after Junior tawfa ... and secure a big knockout win”
NU
Next Man Up picks Austen Lane
“I think he just has to avoid The Knockout power from Justin Tafa he has the height Advantage the reach Advantage I think he just has to keep his distance in their sparring and he can get a nice decision win there”
Next Man Up picks Austen Lane
“I think he just has to avoid The Knockout power from Justin Tafa he has the height Advantage the reach Advantage I think he just has to keep his distance in their sparring and he can get a nice decision win there”
SA
Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Justin Tafa
“I'm gonna pick Taffa to win but I think the line is a little bit too wide”
$1.45
Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Justin Tafa
“I'm gonna pick Taffa to win but I think the line is a little bit too wide”
$1.45
WD
Wade Dewell picks Justin Tafa
“I'm going with him for the victory”
Wade Dewell picks Justin Tafa
“I'm going with him for the victory”
FI
FightBookMMA picks Austen Lane VALUE
“I'm gonna put my money on the dog uh I think Austen Lane's gonna sleep Justin tapa um unfortunately I love Justin taffa but bro that last outing yeah it was you could tell man he was just it was too much to handle”
$2.95
FightBookMMA picks Austen Lane VALUE
“I'm gonna put my money on the dog uh I think Austen Lane's gonna sleep Justin tapa um unfortunately I love Justin taffa but bro that last outing yeah it was you could tell man he was just it was too much to handle”
$2.95
SS
Sophisticated Savage picks Justin Tafa
“Justin to is probably going to get in hit him hard knock him out”
Sophisticated Savage picks Justin Tafa
“Justin to is probably going to get in hit him hard knock him out”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Tafa7-5
L
Teixeira
Feb '25
L
Williams
Mar '24
W
Lane
Sep '23
W
Porter
Feb '23
W
Hunsucker
Dec '21
Lane13-7
L
Baraniewski
Mar '26
L
Petrino
Jul '25
L
Pinto
Mar '25
W
Despaigne
Oct '24
L
Diniz
Apr '24