Choose a fight to analyse
SS
IA
Strickland vs AdesanyaMain Card · Middleweight
AV
TT
Volkov vs TuivasaMain Card · Heavyweight
MK
FS
Kape vs SantosMain Card · Flyweight
JT
AL
Tafa vs LaneMain Card · Heavyweight
TP
AT
Pedro vs TurkaljMain Card · Light Heavyweight
CU
JD
Ulberg vs Da-unPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
CM
JJ
Mariscal vs JenkinsPreliminary Card · Featherweight
JM
JM
Mullarkey vs MakdessiPreliminary Card · Lightweight
NH
LQ
Haqparast vs QuiñonesPreliminary Card · Lightweight
CR
MM
Radtke vs MathethaEarly Preliminary Card · Welterweight
GM
SY
Miranda vs YoungEarly Preliminary Card · Catchweight
KJ
KC
Jousset vs CrosbieEarly Preliminary Card · Welterweight
IA
Strickland vs AdesanyaMain Card · Middleweight
AV
TT
Volkov vs TuivasaMain Card · Heavyweight
MK
FS
Kape vs SantosMain Card · Flyweight
JT
AL
Tafa vs LaneMain Card · Heavyweight
TP
AT
Pedro vs TurkaljMain Card · Light Heavyweight
CU
JD
Ulberg vs Da-unPreliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
CM
JJ
Mariscal vs JenkinsPreliminary Card · Featherweight
JM
JM
Mullarkey vs MakdessiPreliminary Card · Lightweight
NH
LQ
Haqparast vs QuiñonesPreliminary Card · Lightweight
CR
MM
Radtke vs MathethaEarly Preliminary Card · Welterweight
GM
SY
Miranda vs YoungEarly Preliminary Card · Catchweight
KJ
KC
Jousset vs CrosbieEarly Preliminary Card · Welterweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Kape v dos Santos
Flyweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
Go Pro →
New here? Create a free account for the full leaderboard & bet tracker
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Kape 22-7
VS
8-2 dos Santos
5'5"
height
5'7"
126 lb
weight
125 lb
68"
reach
70"
32
age
25
Southpaw
stance
Orthodox
4.4
strikes landed / min
3.9
53%
striking accuracy
37%
4.1
strikes absorbed / min
3.8
59%
striking defence
41%
0.5
takedowns / 15 min
0.0
33%
takedown accuracy
0%
73%
takedown defence
14%
0.4
submissions / 15 min
0.3
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
Go Pro →
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
MJ
MMA JOEY picks Manel Kape VALUE
“I thought Manel Kape was going to dominate”
MMA JOEY picks Manel Kape VALUE
“I thought Manel Kape was going to dominate”
LM
Leftlane MMA picks Felipe dos Santos
“Felipe dos Santos dos Santos really uh came in and showed up well and he is definitely top 15 caliber”
Leftlane MMA picks Felipe dos Santos
“Felipe dos Santos dos Santos really uh came in and showed up well and he is definitely top 15 caliber”
LM
Leftlane MMA picks Manel Kape
“really good stuff from Manel Kape uh and then post fight again another f a g g o t uh word was dropped”
Leftlane MMA picks Manel Kape
“really good stuff from Manel Kape uh and then post fight again another f a g g o t uh word was dropped”
MP
Mike's MMA Picks picks Felipe dos Santos VALUE
“I'll be picking my now cop here and I think he does get a finish”
Mike's MMA Picks picks Felipe dos Santos VALUE
“I'll be picking my now cop here and I think he does get a finish”
MP
Mike's MMA Picks picks Manel Kape VALUE
“Manalcop is going to come out on top”
Mike's MMA Picks picks Manel Kape VALUE
“Manalcop is going to come out on top”
RU
RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Manel Kape
“I'm picking him Manel Kape ... Manel Kape all the way ... small play on Manel Kape by submission value play is Manel Kape by submission on Felipe dos Santos at and range ... Manel Kape all the way all right Manel Kape all the way small play on Manel Kape”
$1.24
RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Manel Kape
“I'm picking him Manel Kape ... Manel Kape all the way ... small play on Manel Kape by submission value play is Manel Kape by submission on Felipe dos Santos at and range ... Manel Kape all the way all right Manel Kape all the way small play on Manel Kape”
$1.24
TS
The Fight Week Show picks Manel Kape
“I'm gonna go with it um that's my Peak”
The Fight Week Show picks Manel Kape
“I'm gonna go with it um that's my Peak”
TS
The Fight Week Show picks Felipe dos Santos VALUE
“I can't believe the difference the odds because these are unknown quality he's undefeated I think that's right kids it should be cursive I'll give it to him”
The Fight Week Show picks Felipe dos Santos VALUE
“I can't believe the difference the odds because these are unknown quality he's undefeated I think that's right kids it should be cursive I'll give it to him”
TH
TheMMASpokesman picks Manel Kape
“I'm taking Manel Kape by knockout possibly in eventually succumb to Manel Kape's power Undefeated Prospect Felipe dos Santos catch Felipe dos Santos off guard especially the second round as Felipe dos Santos might”
TheMMASpokesman picks Manel Kape
“I'm taking Manel Kape by knockout possibly in eventually succumb to Manel Kape's power Undefeated Prospect Felipe dos Santos catch Felipe dos Santos off guard especially the second round as Felipe dos Santos might”
FM
Foley Brothers Combat Sports Media picks Manel Kape VALUE
“so I'm going to take Manel Manel Kape here”
Foley Brothers Combat Sports Media picks Manel Kape VALUE
“so I'm going to take Manel Manel Kape here”
NU
Next Man Up picks Manel Kape
“I am going to go with cape overall”
Next Man Up picks Manel Kape
“I am going to go with cape overall”
UC
UFC - CELEBRITIES AND CLASSICS picks Manel Kape
“I have Manel Manel Kape to win”
UFC - CELEBRITIES AND CLASSICS picks Manel Kape
“I have Manel Manel Kape to win”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Kape22-7
W
Horiguchi
Jun '26
W
Royval
Dec '25
W
Almabayev
Mar '25
W
Silva
Dec '24
L
Mokaev
Jul '24
dos Santos8-2
L
Kavanagh
Mar '25
L
Lima
Sep '24
W
Altamirano
Feb '24
L
Kape
Sep '23