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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Volkov v Tuivasa
Heavyweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Volkov 39-11
VS
15-9 Tuivasa
6'7"
height
6'2"
261 lb
weight
265 lb
80"
reach
75"
37
age
33
Orthodox
stance
Southpaw
5.1
strikes landed / min
3.8
57%
striking accuracy
46%
3.0
strikes absorbed / min
5.2
55%
striking defence
44%
0.5
takedowns / 15 min
0.0
63%
takedown accuracy
0%
73%
takedown defence
57%
0.2
submissions / 15 min
0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
MP
Mike's MMA Picks picks Tai Tuivasa VALUE
“Tai Tuivasa wins this by decision”
Mike's MMA Picks picks Tai Tuivasa VALUE
“Tai Tuivasa wins this by decision”
RU
RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Alexander Volkov
“give me Alexander Volkov here and again I there but I like Alexander Volkov a fair bit here Alexander Volkov to win the fight he's the better”
$1.40
RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Alexander Volkov
“give me Alexander Volkov here and again I there but I like Alexander Volkov a fair bit here Alexander Volkov to win the fight he's the better”
$1.40
TS
The Fight Week Show picks Tai Tuivasa VALUE
“this guy's gonna knock him out and then get high like doing that Sherry he needs to win this he's not joking”
The Fight Week Show picks Tai Tuivasa VALUE
“this guy's gonna knock him out and then get high like doing that Sherry he needs to win this he's not joking”
FM
Foley Brothers Combat Sports Media picks Tai Tuivasa
“I'm going to go with him regardless I think it's going to be a heck of a Slaughter Fest either way but I have to go with my boy Tai Tuivasa”
Foley Brothers Combat Sports Media picks Tai Tuivasa
“I'm going to go with him regardless I think it's going to be a heck of a Slaughter Fest either way but I have to go with my boy Tai Tuivasa”
UC
UFC - CELEBRITIES AND CLASSICS picks Alexander Volkov
“I think the title of us is having the greatest heart in this world but the guy is leaving himself too much open when attacking so that's why I'm here with the fight not going the distance but with us is going to go for a knockout”
UFC - CELEBRITIES AND CLASSICS picks Alexander Volkov
“I think the title of us is having the greatest heart in this world but the guy is leaving himself too much open when attacking so that's why I'm here with the fight not going the distance but with us is going to go for a knockout”
PI
PickemMMA picks Alexander Volkov VALUE
“the physical pick is AlexandrAlexander Volkov uh on the money line”
PickemMMA picks Alexander Volkov VALUE
“the physical pick is AlexandrAlexander Volkov uh on the money line”
SA
Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Alexander Volkov VALUE
“I'm going to pick Alexander Volkov to win”
Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Alexander Volkov VALUE
“I'm going to pick Alexander Volkov to win”
MN
Mayo Media Network picks Alexander Volkov
“above Jenkins you have Alexander Volkov that's a risky fight against Tai Tuivasa”
Mayo Media Network picks Alexander Volkov
“above Jenkins you have Alexander Volkov that's a risky fight against Tai Tuivasa”
MO
MoreViolencePlease picks Tai Tuivasa
“I probably would expect Tai Tuivasa to walk away with a victory in that one”
MoreViolencePlease picks Tai Tuivasa
“I probably would expect Tai Tuivasa to walk away with a victory in that one”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Alexander Volkov
“I'm going with uh Alexander I love me some Thai to ivassa... I'm going with Alexander Alexander Volkovov”
$1.41
MMA EXPERTS picks Alexander Volkov
“I'm going with uh Alexander I love me some Thai to ivassa... I'm going with Alexander Alexander Volkovov”
$1.41
FI
FightBookMMA picks Tai Tuivasa
“I don't know a lot of people are really like a lot of people are picking marisco I'm picking up I'm picky Jeffy”
FightBookMMA picks Tai Tuivasa
“I don't know a lot of people are really like a lot of people are picking marisco I'm picking up I'm picky Jeffy”
FI
FightBookMMA picks Alexander Volkov VALUE
“I'm gonna pick vocab I'm gonna think Alexander Volkov stopped him in two rounds because I think it'll be a fire first round”
$1.50
FightBookMMA picks Alexander Volkov VALUE
“I'm gonna pick vocab I'm gonna think Alexander Volkov stopped him in two rounds because I think it'll be a fire first round”
$1.50
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Volkov39-11
W
Cortes-Acosta
May '26
W
Almeida
Oct '25
L
Gane
Dec '24
W
Pavlovich
Jun '24
W
Tuivasa
Sep '23
Tuivasa15-9
L
Sutherland
May '26
L
Teixeira
Feb '26
L
Rozenstruik
Aug '24
L
Tybura
Mar '24
L
Volkov
Sep '23