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UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Brener v Kruschewsky Catchweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus14 picks · conf 35/99
Brener 12
2 Kruschewsky
PMHGCB pick Brener
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Brener 16-5 VS 15-3 Kruschewsky
5'10" height 6'0"
155 lb weight 154 lb
72" reach 73"
28 age 35
Orthodox stance Orthodox
4.0 strikes landed / min 5.7
47% striking accuracy 50%
5.3 strikes absorbed / min 5.7
48% striking defence 46%
1.2 takedowns / 15 min 2.7
23% takedown accuracy 100%
76% takedown defence 75%
0.0 submissions / 15 min 2.1
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only Go Pro →
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
OS Once Upon A Slugfest picks Kaynan Kruschewsky “solely because of the short notice I will pick Brandon”
PP Prime Time Picks picks Elves Brener “I'm gonna pick Elves Brener here”
WP We Want Picks picks Elves Brener VALUE “I think elves wins this new matchup”
MP Mike's MMA Picks picks Elves Brener “I'll be picking Elves Brener here”
BP Boxing MMA Picks picks Kaynan Kruschewsky VALUE “Mora should win pretty easily”
BP Boxing MMA Picks picks Elves Brener VALUE “I'm going to go Elves Brener”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Elves Brener VALUE “I feel like Elves Brener is able to kind of hang in there take over as the fight goes on and potentially even finish Kaynan Kruschewsky”
FP Free Picks PickDawgz picks Kaynan Kruschewsky VALUE “go ahead and take Elvis Brener to get it done”
FP Free Picks PickDawgz picks Elves Brener “go ahead and take Elvis Brener to get it done”
HY Hypecheck picks Elves Brener VALUE “it's a favorite pass spot here with Elves Brener” $1.65
CC Chronic Combat Conversations picks Elves Brener VALUE “the pick is Gabriel bonf” $1.16
HB Half The Battle picks Kaynan Kruschewsky VALUE “I'm going go Armen”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Brener16-5
L Ribovics Decision · R3 Aug '25
L Álvarez KO/TKO · R3 Aug '24
L Orolbai Decision · R3 May '24
W Kruschewsky KO/TKO · R1 Nov '23
W Kutateladze KO/TKO · R3 Jul '23
Kruschewsky15-3
L Holobaugh Decision · R3 Jul '24
L Brener KO/TKO · R1 Nov '23