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Page vs HollandMain Card · Welterweight
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Maddalena vs BurnsMain Card · Welterweight
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Yan vs YadongMain Card · Bantamweight
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JA
Blaydes vs AlmeidaPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
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Barber vs CerminaraPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
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Gamrot vs AnjosPreliminary Card · Lightweight
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Phillips vs MunhozPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
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Despaigne vs ParisianEarly Preliminary Card · Heavyweight
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Pereira 32-14
VS
22-9 Oleksiejczuk
6'1"
height
6'0"
186 lb
weight
186 lb
73"
reach
74"
32
age
31
Orthodox
stance
Southpaw
5.5
strikes landed / min
5.1
49%
striking accuracy
50%
4.0
strikes absorbed / min
4.6
59%
striking defence
58%
1.3
takedowns / 15 min
1.1
59%
takedown accuracy
43%
59%
takedown defence
48%
1.9
submissions / 15 min
0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
PF
Pickin' Fights picks Michał Oleksiejczuk VALUE
“I'm gonna be on Michael ol and J for this fight”
NN
Noah Nwadei picks Michał Oleksiejczuk
“I'm taking Michał Oleksiejczuk I think uh M Michał Oleksiejczuk winning a decision”
TT
The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Michał Oleksiejczuk VALUE
“noBenoît Saint Denisody pressures like M Lord maau”
TT
The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Michel Pereira VALUE
“Billy you're going with another main card fight GilBenoît Saint Denisert Burns against Jack Della Maddalena”
FF
Fight Fiend Forecast picks Michel Pereira VALUE
“Holland has super heavy hands and he has a lot of finishes he has like an 85% finish rate I actually see Holland getting the finish in this fight if not he's going to win it by a decision”
PN
Picks Nation picks Michel Pereira VALUE
“I am confident in Michelle I do have a bet on him that I'll show you when we talk about solid underdogs”
$1.77
BP
Bloody Water Podcast picks Michel Pereira VALUE
“my sleeper folks not a sleeper whatsoever... Michel Pereira Michał Oleksiejczuk banging”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Michel Pereira
“I'm picking Pereira to win I'm picking Pereira I think that he pulls it off took a dive damn AJ hit hard that's funny as [ __ ] best fight of the night oneway ticket to the shadow realm delivered by AJ that's funny as hell dude holy [ __ ] I'm watching myself punch my that was funny man oh bro I kept that [ __ ] [ __ ] locked you need to get yourself smelling salt you saw the snot flying holy [ __ ] look at an NBA player with that fly said I'm picking Michelle perea to win okay I think that he wins but ol J ch's A Dangerous Dog ol J ch's not an easy fight but we're gonna go with uh Michel Pereira”
$1.70
ZP
Zlatan's Fight Picks picks Michel Pereira VALUE
“I think OJ's going to win this he is an underdog in this but these are both guys that I like to bet on uh but yeah I think well J chck I mean he he's just he can go down to a lighter weight class but he's just naturally a very strong tough durable guy”
GM
GC MMA picks Michel Pereira
“I'm going to have to pick Michel Pereira here”
DR
DraftKings picks Michał Oleksiejczuk
“I'm gonna go Michał Oleksiejczuk all right no you gonna go Michał Oleksiejczuk”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Pereira32-14
L
Magomedov
Jun '26
W
Reese
Feb '26
L
Daukaus
Aug '25
L
Magomedov
Apr '25
L
Hernandez
Oct '24
Oleksiejczuk22-9
L
Magomedov
Jun '26
W
Barriault
Feb '26
W
Meerschaert
Aug '25
W
Dumas
Apr '25
L
Magomedov
Aug '24