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Poirier vs DenisMain Card · Lightweight
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Poirier vs DenisMain Card · Lightweight
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Page vs HollandMain Card · Welterweight
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Maddalena vs BurnsMain Card · Welterweight
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Yan vs YadongMain Card · Bantamweight
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Blaydes vs AlmeidaPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
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Barber vs CerminaraPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
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Gamrot vs AnjosPreliminary Card · Lightweight
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Phillips vs MunhozPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
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Lins vs CuțelabaEarly Preliminary Card · Light Heavyweight
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Pereira vs OleksiejczukEarly Preliminary Card · Middleweight
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Despaigne vs ParisianEarly Preliminary Card · Heavyweight
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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Poirier v Saint Denis
Lightweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Poirier 30-9
VS
16-3 Saint Denis
5'9"
height
5'11"
156 lb
weight
156 lb
72"
reach
73"
37
age
30
Southpaw
stance
Southpaw
5.3
strikes landed / min
4.4
50%
striking accuracy
40%
4.3
strikes absorbed / min
5.0
52%
striking defence
73%
1.2
takedowns / 15 min
1.9
36%
takedown accuracy
57%
64%
takedown defence
54%
1.3
submissions / 15 min
1.7
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
RU
RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Dustin Poirier VALUE
“Dustin Poirier por is a black belt pads to victory for our friend Dustin Poirier that Dustin Poirier is totally washed um you know pick Dustin Poirier”
RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Dustin Poirier VALUE
“Dustin Poirier por is a black belt pads to victory for our friend Dustin Poirier that Dustin Poirier is totally washed um you know pick Dustin Poirier”
OS
Once Upon A Slugfest picks Benoît Saint Denis
“who has the highest five finishing grade 2 1 Benoît Saint Denis and who has the highest takeown accuracy and Benoît Saint Denis 3 2 [Music] 1 Benoît Saint Denis and who has the high is the take down average 3 2 1 Benoît Saint Denis and who has the highest striking accuracy and Benoît Saint Denis 3 2 1 Benoît Saint Denis and who has the highest knockdown average 3 2 1 subscribers [Music]”
Once Upon A Slugfest picks Benoît Saint Denis
“who has the highest five finishing grade 2 1 Benoît Saint Denis and who has the highest takeown accuracy and Benoît Saint Denis 3 2 [Music] 1 Benoît Saint Denis and who has the high is the take down average 3 2 1 Benoît Saint Denis and who has the highest striking accuracy and Benoît Saint Denis 3 2 1 Benoît Saint Denis and who has the highest knockdown average 3 2 1 subscribers [Music]”
PF
Pickin' Fights picks Dustin Poirier VALUE
“I'm going Dustin porier”
Pickin' Fights picks Dustin Poirier VALUE
“I'm going Dustin porier”
TD
The Rambling Dad picks Dustin Poirier
“Dustin Poirier William's going with Dustin Poirier magden mate so I was going with Benoît Saint Denis be five rounds can he hand Dustin Poirier is boxing as they get to five Dustin Poirier is boxing as they get to five Dustin Poirier is boxing as they get to five rounds I know he's got the gas tank to I'm going to go with Benoît Saint Denis and and I love Dustin Poirier but yeah definitely Benoît Saint Denis Dustin Poirier but yeah definitely Benoît Saint Denis Dustin Poirier but yeah definitely Benoît Saint Denis on this one”
The Rambling Dad picks Dustin Poirier
“Dustin Poirier William's going with Dustin Poirier magden mate so I was going with Benoît Saint Denis be five rounds can he hand Dustin Poirier is boxing as they get to five Dustin Poirier is boxing as they get to five Dustin Poirier is boxing as they get to five rounds I know he's got the gas tank to I'm going to go with Benoît Saint Denis and and I love Dustin Poirier but yeah definitely Benoît Saint Denis Dustin Poirier but yeah definitely Benoît Saint Denis Dustin Poirier but yeah definitely Benoît Saint Denis on this one”
MM
Mmajessic picks Dustin Poirier VALUE
“my pick for this fight is obviously Dustin Poirier”
Mmajessic picks Dustin Poirier VALUE
“my pick for this fight is obviously Dustin Poirier”
BR
Broom picks Dustin Poirier VALUE
“Dustin Poirier por is going to be able to survive in early round and a half uh Benoît Saint Denis W's going to slow down a little bit and then he's too hitable as it is ESP even when he's pressuring you up against the cage he's too counterable and Dustin Poirier Dustin Poirier kind of thrives in that just his weird awkward guard up moving side to side and then he cracks you you know uh Benoît Saint Denis's quite a bit bigger than I thought he was uh he looked massive next to next to Dustin Poirier which is funny because everyone's saying Dustin Poirier should have been a welterweight uh but Benoît Saint Denis is even bigger either way fourth or fifth round TKO Dustin Poirier puts him away uh I don't it's either going to be an early finish or a late finish for either of these guys honestly uh I'm worried about the grappling I think benois is going to be able to really mix it up he hits hard and then you know Dustin Poirier shells up and he's pretty decently easy to take down but he does have good defensive grappling moving up the card to the main event we have Sean O'Malley versus Marlon Vera Marlon Vera Marlon Vera uh I've got Sean O'Malley winning a very comfortable decision”
Broom picks Dustin Poirier VALUE
“Dustin Poirier por is going to be able to survive in early round and a half uh Benoît Saint Denis W's going to slow down a little bit and then he's too hitable as it is ESP even when he's pressuring you up against the cage he's too counterable and Dustin Poirier Dustin Poirier kind of thrives in that just his weird awkward guard up moving side to side and then he cracks you you know uh Benoît Saint Denis's quite a bit bigger than I thought he was uh he looked massive next to next to Dustin Poirier which is funny because everyone's saying Dustin Poirier should have been a welterweight uh but Benoît Saint Denis is even bigger either way fourth or fifth round TKO Dustin Poirier puts him away uh I don't it's either going to be an early finish or a late finish for either of these guys honestly uh I'm worried about the grappling I think benois is going to be able to really mix it up he hits hard and then you know Dustin Poirier shells up and he's pretty decently easy to take down but he does have good defensive grappling moving up the card to the main event we have Sean O'Malley versus Marlon Vera Marlon Vera Marlon Vera uh I've got Sean O'Malley winning a very comfortable decision”
OS
Once Upon A Slugfest picks Benoît Saint Denis
“even though I'm going with st Dennis I think it will be 50/50”
Once Upon A Slugfest picks Benoît Saint Denis
“even though I'm going with st Dennis I think it will be 50/50”
SD
Skyler Dagley picks Dustin Poirier
“in this fight in this very fight I'm my heart wins I'm picking Dustin Dustin Poirier I think Dustin Dustin Poirier wins a slugfest with benis Stony and takes home a decision”
Skyler Dagley picks Dustin Poirier
“in this fight in this very fight I'm my heart wins I'm picking Dustin Dustin Poirier I think Dustin Dustin Poirier wins a slugfest with benis Stony and takes home a decision”
FI
FightBookMMA picks Dustin Poirier VALUE
“I'm going for por man KO round four”
FightBookMMA picks Dustin Poirier VALUE
“I'm going for por man KO round four”
MP
Michael 'Venom' Page picks Dustin Poirier
“I'm I'm giving it my man Dustin Poirier just because he's so M to watch got great Cris boxing he's tough he still got durability and he can he can take the fight anywhere you know what I'm saying and I just think he's the experience that he's had he's fought the who's who for a long period of time uh I think he's got just got the experience as well”
Michael 'Venom' Page picks Dustin Poirier
“I'm I'm giving it my man Dustin Poirier just because he's so M to watch got great Cris boxing he's tough he still got durability and he can he can take the fight anywhere you know what I'm saying and I just think he's the experience that he's had he's fought the who's who for a long period of time uh I think he's got just got the experience as well”
VS
VSiN picks Dustin Poirier VALUE
“you like Dustin Poirier anyways plus 180 I do like Po I think he's getting substantially underrated here”
$2.80
VSiN picks Dustin Poirier VALUE
“you like Dustin Poirier anyways plus 180 I do like Po I think he's getting substantially underrated here”
$2.80
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Poirier30-9
L
Holloway
Jul '25
L
Makhachev
Jun '24
W
Denis
Mar '24
L
Gaethje
Jul '23
W
Chandler
Nov '22
Saint Denis16-3
W
Hooker
Feb '26
W
Dariush
Nov '25
W
Ruffy
Sep '25
W
Prepolec
May '25
L
Moicano
Sep '24