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UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Yan v Yadong Bantamweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus63 picks · conf 73/99
Yan 37
26 Yadong
FHEBJW pick Yan
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Yan 18-5 VS 22-9-1 Yadong
5'7" height 5'8"
135 lb weight 136 lb
67" reach 67"
33 age 28
Switch stance Orthodox
5.1 strikes landed / min 4.5
54% striking accuracy 43%
4.1 strikes absorbed / min 4.0
58% striking defence 55%
1.6 takedowns / 15 min 0.7
49% takedown accuracy 40%
84% takedown defence 72%
0.1 submissions / 15 min 0.2
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
RU RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Petr Yan VALUE “Petr Yan is gonna outpoint from Petr Yan and they shouldn't this is the believe that Song Yadong is gonna find himself pressure forward uh Petr Yan should be better fight so I I I love Petr Yan in this fight bet yeah I I agree heavy on Petr Yan”
PF Pickin' Fights picks Petr Yan “I'm going with P Jan”
PF Pickin' Fights picks Song Yadong VALUE “I am still with s dong”
TD The Rambling Dad picks Song Yadong “I'm going for Song Yadong on this one for Song Yadong on this one for Song Yadong on this one yeah I'm that same train I thought I'm yeah I'm that same train I thought I'm going for Song Yadong”
MM Mmajessic picks Petr Yan VALUE “I feel like Petr Yan is going to get it done”
BR Broom picks Song Yadong VALUE “I do think that song is going to get the better of Petr Yan uh hurting him a few times not finishing him but hurting him a few times early uh or even just winning off of a pace a wrestling Pace the first round Petr Yan realizing he needs to catch up getting cracked and uh getting hurt a couple times and Yong winning a very brutal fight uh Petr Yan's great Petr Yan's boxing combinations and his pull counters are fantastic so are not are they shoot counters I don't remember what they're called but uh they're both super fun to fight super fun to fight uh they'd both kill me they're both super fun to watch in the Octagon so I'm excited to see how that goes um but yeah I've got song winning either late TKO or decision”
BR Broom picks Petr Yan VALUE “I've got Petr Yan winning either late TKO or decision”
WP WillMartin UFC Fight Predictions picks Petr Yan VALUE “I'm picking P Yan in this one here I think that he wins a decision”
CM Comedian Romeo Mac picks Petr Yan VALUE “I'm picking Petr Yan” $1.80
OS Once Upon A Slugfest picks Petr Yan “70% di wins this one”
SD Skyler Dagley picks Petr Yan “I'm going to say Pion gets the job done”
FI FightBookMMA picks Petr Yan VALUE “I'm going Peter Yan decision”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Yan18-5
W Dvalishvili Decision · R5 Dec '25
W McGhee Decision · R3 Jul '25
W Figueiredo Decision · R5 Nov '24
W Yadong Decision · R3 Mar '24
L Dvalishvili Decision · R5 Mar '23
Yadong22-9-1
W Figueiredo Submission · R2 May '26
L O'Malley Decision · R3 Jan '26
W Cejudo Decision · R3 Feb '25
L Yan Decision · R3 Mar '24
W Gutiérrez Decision · R5 Dec '23