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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Waters v Goff
Welterweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Waters 9-2
VS
9-3 Goff
6'5"
height
—
171 lb
weight
—
77"
reach
—
31
age
28
Orthodox
stance
Switch
2.6
strikes landed / min
8.6
42%
striking accuracy
46%
4.2
strikes absorbed / min
5.7
52%
striking defence
59%
1.9
takedowns / 15 min
2.0
67%
takedown accuracy
17%
84%
takedown defence
100%
1.3
submissions / 15 min
0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
MP
Mike's MMA Picks picks Billy Goff
“I'll be picking Billy Goff to walk away fight for Billy Goff”
Mike's MMA Picks picks Billy Goff
“I'll be picking Billy Goff to walk away fight for Billy Goff”
SA
Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Trey Waters VALUE
“I'm going to be playing a little bit more of Trey Waters”
Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Trey Waters VALUE
“I'm going to be playing a little bit more of Trey Waters”
ZP
Zlatan's Fight Picks picks Trey Waters
“I'm going to go with Trey Waters”
Zlatan's Fight Picks picks Trey Waters
“I'm going to go with Trey Waters”
TT
The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Billy Goff
“over Billy Goff who largely has won two UFC fights on durability and toughness”
The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Billy Goff
“over Billy Goff who largely has won two UFC fights on durability and toughness”
TT
The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Trey Waters VALUE
“it's the best bet Trey Waters at minus 160”
$1.62
The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Trey Waters VALUE
“it's the best bet Trey Waters at minus 160”
$1.62
WP
We Want Picks picks Trey Waters
“if I have to pick a winner I do think Trey Waters Waters”
We Want Picks picks Trey Waters
“if I have to pick a winner I do think Trey Waters Waters”
KU
Kunath picks Billy Goff VALUE
“Billy Goff he's got that early upside he wins most of his fights by knockout in the first or second round”
Kunath picks Billy Goff VALUE
“Billy Goff he's got that early upside he wins most of his fights by knockout in the first or second round”
TP
The City Life Project picks Billy Goff VALUE
“I'm going Billy G”
The City Life Project picks Billy Goff VALUE
“I'm going Billy G”
MB
Matty Betss picks Trey Waters VALUE
“I think he's a solid favorite I would definitely pick him here I think he could even be a parlay piece”
$1.43
Matty Betss picks Trey Waters VALUE
“I think he's a solid favorite I would definitely pick him here I think he could even be a parlay piece”
$1.43
MB
Matty Betss picks Billy Goff VALUE
“I like the plus money here bro I think I think if golf can close the distance and and just come in and overwhelm him”
$2.70
Matty Betss picks Billy Goff VALUE
“I like the plus money here bro I think I think if golf can close the distance and and just come in and overwhelm him”
$2.70
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Billy Goff VALUE
“I think Billy Goff can beat Trey Trey Waters... we're going with Billy golf”
$2.43
MMA EXPERTS picks Billy Goff VALUE
“I think Billy Goff can beat Trey Trey Waters... we're going with Billy golf”
$2.43
MB
MMA Bros picks Trey Waters
“I'm going with Trey Waters”
MMA Bros picks Trey Waters
“I'm going with Trey Waters”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Waters9-2
L
Patterson
Sep '25
W
Goff
May '24
W
Quinlan
Apr '23
Goff9-3
L
Waters
May '24
W
Kinoshita
Aug '23