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Marcos vs CastañedaPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
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Imavov vs CannonierMain Card · Middleweight
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Reyes vs JacobyMain Card · Light Heavyweight
RJ
RT
Rosas Jr. vs TurciosMain Card · Bantamweight
BF
DS
Ferreira vs StoltzfusMain Card · Middleweight
ZR
JM
Reese vs MarquezMain Card · Middleweight
PS
MB
Soriano vs BaezaMain Card · Welterweight
ĽK
TM
Klein vs MoisésPreliminary Card · Lightweight
CP
CR
Prates vs RadtkePreliminary Card · Welterweight
BK
JB
Katona vs ButlerPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
MR
AL
Rosa vs LeePreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
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Marcos vs CastañedaPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
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Gomes vs MouraPreliminary Card · Catchweight
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Lapilus vs StamannPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Marcos v Castañeda
Bantamweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Marcos 16-0
VS
21-7 Castañeda
5'7"
height
—
135 lb
weight
—
69"
reach
—
33
age
34
Orthodox
stance
Switch
5.9
strikes landed / min
4.7
52%
striking accuracy
50%
4.0
strikes absorbed / min
5.2
63%
striking defence
54%
0.2
takedowns / 15 min
1.8
50%
takedown accuracy
35%
87%
takedown defence
71%
0.0
submissions / 15 min
0.1
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
MM
Mainer MMA picks Daniel Marcos VALUE
“no doubt in my mind Daniel Daniel Marcos is mogging him in every single way... and Daniel Marcos is about to get absolutely Molly whopped in there”
Mainer MMA picks Daniel Marcos VALUE
“no doubt in my mind Daniel Daniel Marcos is mogging him in every single way... and Daniel Marcos is about to get absolutely Molly whopped in there”
TD
Twon DeSimone picks John Castañeda VALUE
“I'm going against them again I'm going John Castañeda I think John Castañeda is a better fighter”
Twon DeSimone picks John Castañeda VALUE
“I'm going against them again I'm going John Castañeda I think John Castañeda is a better fighter”
TT
The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks John Castañeda VALUE
“John Castañeda even money against Daniel Marcos”
The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks John Castañeda VALUE
“John Castañeda even money against Daniel Marcos”
WP
We Want Picks picks John Castañeda VALUE
“I think John Castañeda cassan could absolutely win this fight”
We Want Picks picks John Castañeda VALUE
“I think John Castañeda cassan could absolutely win this fight”
KU
Kunath picks Daniel Marcos VALUE
“I like Daniel Marcos in this fight I like him to win”
Kunath picks Daniel Marcos VALUE
“I like Daniel Marcos in this fight I like him to win”
WP
We Want Picks picks John Castañeda VALUE
“I think John Castañeda is just going to come forward strike with him stay in his face working to take down when he needs to I think John cnada wins this fight”
$2.00
We Want Picks picks John Castañeda VALUE
“I think John Castañeda is just going to come forward strike with him stay in his face working to take down when he needs to I think John cnada wins this fight”
$2.00
UP
UCF Podcast picks Daniel Marcos
“John Castañeda versus Daniel Marcos I don't know either of these guys I'll pick the dude from Peru”
UCF Podcast picks Daniel Marcos
“John Castañeda versus Daniel Marcos I don't know either of these guys I'll pick the dude from Peru”
FU
fugazimma picks Daniel Marcos
“I'm gonna go Daniel Marcos here”
fugazimma picks Daniel Marcos
“I'm gonna go Daniel Marcos here”
PP
Prophet Picks picks Daniel Marcos VALUE
“I'm gonna go with Cody staman gets it done probably a sweaty decision”
Prophet Picks picks Daniel Marcos VALUE
“I'm gonna go with Cody staman gets it done probably a sweaty decision”
PP
Prophet Picks picks John Castañeda VALUE
“give me castan I think it happens by decision”
Prophet Picks picks John Castañeda VALUE
“give me castan I think it happens by decision”
CM
CAP MMA picks Daniel Marcos VALUE
“I'm going with Marcos and the over and uh probably Marcos by decision”
CAP MMA picks Daniel Marcos VALUE
“I'm going with Marcos and the over and uh probably Marcos by decision”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Marcos16-0
W
Johns
Nov '25
L
Jackson
May '25
W
Yañez
Dec '24
W
Castañeda
Jun '24
W
Grant
Jul '23
Castañeda21-7
L
Gutiérrez
Apr '25
L
Marcos
Jun '24
W
Kyung-ho
Nov '23
W
Gafurov
Jun '23
L
Santos
Oct '22