MMA Prophecy
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UFC on ESPN: Cannonier vs. Imavov
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NI JC Imavov vs CannonierMain Card · Middleweight DR DJ Reyes vs JacobyMain Card · Light Heavyweight RJ RT Rosas Jr. vs TurciosMain Card · Bantamweight BF DS Ferreira vs StoltzfusMain Card · Middleweight ZR JM Reese vs MarquezMain Card · Middleweight PS MB Soriano vs BaezaMain Card · Welterweight ĽK TM Klein vs MoisésPreliminary Card · Lightweight CP CR Prates vs RadtkePreliminary Card · Welterweight BK JB Katona vs ButlerPreliminary Card · Bantamweight MR AL Rosa vs LeePreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight DM JC Marcos vs CastañedaPreliminary Card · Bantamweight DG EM Gomes vs MouraPreliminary Card · Catchweight TL CS Lapilus vs StamannPreliminary Card · Bantamweight PT RS Tomar vs SantosPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
BEST PRICE Prophecy read Reyes v Jacoby Light Heavyweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus43 picks · conf 64/99
Reyes 20
23 Jacoby
MbDTLM pick Reyes
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Reyes 15-5 VS 22-9-1 Jacoby
6'4" height 6'3"
206 lb weight 204 lb
77" reach 76"
36 age 38
Southpaw stance Orthodox
5.0 strikes landed / min 5.1
43% striking accuracy 65%
2.5 strikes absorbed / min 2.4
70% striking defence 64%
2.5 takedowns / 15 min 1.5
73% takedown accuracy 38%
68% takedown defence 61%
0.6 submissions / 15 min 1.5
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only Go Pro →
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
LS Lil Stray picks Dustin Jacoby VALUE “I'm going with Dustin Jacoby to just win by decision” $1.42
TP The City Life Project picks Dominick Reyes “I'm going Dustin jacobe on this one”
TP The City Life Project picks Dustin Jacoby “I got The Knockout King on this one car prattas”
SA Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Dustin Jacoby VALUE “I do prefer Dominic Reyes”
TD Twon DeSimone picks Dominick Reyes VALUE “I'm gonna go with Dominick Reyes bouncing back and winning a decision over Dustin Jacoby”
TB Totally Blitzed picks Dustin Jacoby VALUE “I gotta go jacobe here” $1.43
OP Outside The Cage MMA Podcast picks Dominick Reyes VALUE “I think there's a chance that Reyes could just use his skill and experience to get the job done here”
WP We Want Picks picks Dominick Reyes VALUE “so ran do Santos wins this fight”
WP We Want Picks picks Dustin Jacoby VALUE “I think Dustin Stoltzfus jacobe wins”
KU Kunath picks Dominick Reyes VALUE “I do have him winning this fight”
DI DFS Insights picks Dustin Jacoby “the Dominick Reyes Dustin Jacoby fight Dominick Reyes typic either knocks you out or gets knocked out”
FI FightDudes picks Dominick Reyes “I'm taking Dominick Dominick Reyes over Dustin Jacoby”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Reyes15-5
W Walker Decision · R3 Apr '26
L Ulberg KO/TKO · R1 Sep '25
W Krylov KO/TKO · R1 Apr '25
W Smith KO/TKO · R2 Dec '24
W Jacoby KO/TKO · R1 Jun '24
Jacoby22-9-1
W Walker KO/TKO · R2 Feb '26
W Lopes KO/TKO · R1 May '25
W Petrino KO/TKO · R3 Dec '24
L Reyes KO/TKO · R1 Jun '24
L Menifield Decision · R3 Dec '23