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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Almeida v Romanov
Heavyweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Almeida 22-4
VS
18-3 Romanov
6'3"
height
—
237 lb
weight
—
79"
reach
—
35
age
35
Orthodox
stance
Southpaw
2.5
strikes landed / min
3.8
64%
striking accuracy
51%
0.7
strikes absorbed / min
2.1
40%
striking defence
54%
6.8
takedowns / 15 min
4.5
59%
takedown accuracy
55%
75%
takedown defence
28%
2.6
submissions / 15 min
0.9
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
PH
Pound 4 Pound with Kamaru & Henry picks Jailton Almeida
“I'm going to go with Jailton Almeida for the win here”
Pound 4 Pound with Kamaru & Henry picks Jailton Almeida
“I'm going to go with Jailton Almeida for the win here”
MJ
MMA JOEY picks Alexander Romanov VALUE
“I'm probably going to pick Umar”
MMA JOEY picks Alexander Romanov VALUE
“I'm probably going to pick Umar”
PF
Pickin' Fights picks Jailton Almeida
“gon ala gonna get the win over Alexander Romanov”
Pickin' Fights picks Jailton Almeida
“gon ala gonna get the win over Alexander Romanov”
AM
ANCHOR MMA picks Alexander Romanov VALUE
“I am going to go with Alexander Romanov I think Alex and I'm really just going for it just cuz I I want that plus money baby if you put $10 on this [__] you get like 26 backs some [__] like that”
$3.60
ANCHOR MMA picks Alexander Romanov VALUE
“I am going to go with Alexander Romanov I think Alex and I'm really just going for it just cuz I I want that plus money baby if you put $10 on this [__] you get like 26 backs some [__] like that”
$3.60
SA
Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Alexander Romanov
“Romanov has looked very unimpressive as of late”
Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Alexander Romanov
“Romanov has looked very unimpressive as of late”
WP
We Want Picks picks Jailton Almeida VALUE
“I think J Oma wins this fight I think he dominates this fight as a wrestler”
We Want Picks picks Jailton Almeida VALUE
“I think J Oma wins this fight I think he dominates this fight as a wrestler”
MC
MMA Crazy picks Jailton Almeida VALUE
“next athlete to weigh in this morning competing in a prelim live on ESPN 2 number seven ranked UFC heavyweight Contender Jailton Almeida oh yeah that's right little below yeah it's okay it's a big division1 241 the official we for Al really really”
MMA Crazy picks Jailton Almeida VALUE
“next athlete to weigh in this morning competing in a prelim live on ESPN 2 number seven ranked UFC heavyweight Contender Jailton Almeida oh yeah that's right little below yeah it's okay it's a big division1 241 the official we for Al really really”
KC
Keg & Company | A Betting Collective picks Jailton Almeida VALUE
“I'll have him in parlays and I'll be on his sub”
Keg & Company | A Betting Collective picks Jailton Almeida VALUE
“I'll have him in parlays and I'll be on his sub”
WP
We Want Picks picks Jailton Almeida VALUE
“I think Jailton Almeida blows right through him”
$1.29
We Want Picks picks Jailton Almeida VALUE
“I think Jailton Almeida blows right through him”
$1.29
UT
UFC Predictions Tracker picks Jailton Almeida
“almost everyone picks him to win with 35 out of 37 picks or 94.6%”
$1.16
UFC Predictions Tracker picks Jailton Almeida
“almost everyone picks him to win with 35 out of 37 picks or 94.6%”
$1.16
TD
The DubCast picks Jailton Almeida
“I'm really liking Jailton Almeida in this fight ... I'm taking Jailton Almeida money”
The DubCast picks Jailton Almeida
“I'm really liking Jailton Almeida in this fight ... I'm taking Jailton Almeida money”
BP
Bloody Water Podcast picks Jailton Almeida VALUE
“jilton Alo over Alexander Alexander Romanov”
Bloody Water Podcast picks Jailton Almeida VALUE
“jilton Alo over Alexander Alexander Romanov”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Almeida22-4
L
Kuniev
Feb '26
L
Volkov
Oct '25
W
Spivac
Jan '25
W
Romanov
Jun '24
L
Blaydes
Mar '24
Romanov18-3
W
Nascimento
Nov '24
L
Almeida
Jun '24
W
Ivanov
Jul '23
L
Volkov
Mar '23
L
Tybura
Aug '22