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Price vs MoronoMain Card · Welterweight
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Brown vs SantosMain Card · Welterweight
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Kopylov vs AlmeidaPreliminary Card · Middleweight
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Almeida vs RomanovPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
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Dawson vs SoleckiPreliminary Card · Lightweight
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Matthews vs RowePreliminary Card · Welterweight
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Hafez vs GallEarly Preliminary Card · Welterweight
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Pérez vs EdwardsEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Holland 28-15
VS
22-9 Oleksiejczuk
6'3"
height
6'0"
170 lb
weight
186 lb
81"
reach
74"
33
age
31
Orthodox
stance
Southpaw
4.2
strikes landed / min
5.1
49%
striking accuracy
50%
3.2
strikes absorbed / min
4.6
50%
striking defence
58%
0.8
takedowns / 15 min
1.1
38%
takedown accuracy
43%
54%
takedown defence
48%
0.6
submissions / 15 min
0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
PH
Pound 4 Pound with Kamaru & Henry picks Kevin Holland VALUE
“this is my upset pick ... I'm going to go with Kevin Holland”
AM
ANCHOR MMA picks Michał Oleksiejczuk VALUE
“I'm going to go Mel ol J um I love the PO skis Polish people I love them I I grew up around a lot of Polish people uh their sizewise aren't too off I like that male fought at 205 that as well I think Mel is the more dener guy I think Holland is the longer guy I'm gonna go Mel oek I just feel like he has they both don't have any [__] momentum but if anything Michał Oleksiejczuk is has meme energy Brewing which [__] that goes a far away and I love his chitty fight he gave chitty some [__] he gave him the [__] work dog so that's for me he lost to kab boar he is a good fighter I really think Mel ol J is going to win I love my polish [__] you know kibasa is all in my face I don't care that's what I want dude [__] [__] but I really think Mel oek is gonna win I think Kevin Holland if he loses this he's calling m a a trash can he's calling him a bum I just feel like you think like you're you're somebody you're not in your head anymore bro so you kind of got to stop I know he really wanted that Nick Diaz fight so that to me just kind of shows where Holland is in his head I know it doesn't mean anything towards the fight but it just kind of shows me where he's at in his head he wants money fights he wants he's not winning a [__] belt that Wonder Boy fight cemented that and even for Wonderboy he doesn't know if he's going to win a belt but I just don't think his well-roundedness is there for somebody I think M I think Kevin is more well-rounded than male I just feel like male just has the meme sauce Brewing I think male is just I just like male's odds at this I love him being from a higher weight class um and it'll be nice to see Kevin at 185 let's see how you move let's see how if that cut to 170 was really bothering you but I'm going to go with Mel olj via memess and I think you know what [__] it third second round knockout”
SA
Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice picks Michał Oleksiejczuk
“I have some exposure to Michał Oleksiejczuk he's in 133% of my lineups he's got a puncher's chance”
MK
Morning Kombat picks Kevin Holland
“Kevin Holland should win this”
WP
We Want Picks picks Kevin Holland VALUE
“I like Kevin Hollen at $9,000”
KC
Keg & Company | A Betting Collective picks Kevin Holland VALUE
“the pick is going to be Kevin Holland Kevin Holland inside the distance”
WP
We Want Picks picks Kevin Holland VALUE
“I think Kevin Holland Kevin Holland Holland wins this fight”
BP
Bloody Water Podcast picks Kevin Holland VALUE
“we're taking pure dog right here currently right now folks plus 245 you can't ask for a better dog than that one I just happen to think that he's live”
BP
Bloody Water Podcast picks Michał Oleksiejczuk VALUE
“I'm taking the flyer on Ox Chuck”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Holland28-15
W
Brown
Apr '26
L
Malott
Oct '25
L
Rodriguez
Jul '25
W
Luque
Jun '25
W
Nelson
Mar '25
Oleksiejczuk22-9
L
Magomedov
Jun '26
W
Barriault
Feb '26
W
Meerschaert
Aug '25
W
Dumas
Apr '25
L
Magomedov
Aug '24